Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Index 2015 Forecast

Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Index 2015 Forecast

9 January 2015, 18:11
Patti
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The Nikkei 225, more commonly called the Nikkei, the Nikkei index, or the Nikkei Stock Average, is a stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). It has been calculated daily by the Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) newspaper since 1950. It is a price-weighted index (the unit is yen), and the components are reviewed once a year. Currently, the Nikkei is the most widely quoted average of Japanese equities, similar to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. In fact, it was known as the "Nikkei Dow Jones Stock Average" from 1975 to 1985.

The Nikkei 225 began to be calculated on September 7, 1950, retroactively calculated back to May 16, 1949. Since January 2010 the index is updated every 15 seconds during trading sessions.

The Nikkei 225 Futures, introduced at Singapore Exchange (SGX) in 1986, the Osaka Securities Exchange (OSE) in 1988, Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) in 1990, is now an internationally recognized futures index.

Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Index Forecast Index Values Average of Month:

Month Date Forecast
Value
50%
Correct +/-
80%
Correct +/-
0 Nov 2014 17,187.1 +/-0 +/-0
1 Dec 2014 17,620 +/-304 +/-578
2 Jan 2015 17,110 +/-401 +/-762
3 Feb 2015 16,100 +/-472 +/-896
4 Mar 2015 16,310 +/-529 +/-1,006
5 Apr 2015 15,350 +/-579 +/-1,100
6 May 2015 15,260 +/-622 +/-1,183


The Nikkei average has deviated sharply from the textbook model of stock averages which grow at a steady exponential rate. The average hit its all-time high on December 29, 1989, during the peak of the Japanese asset price bubble, when it reached an intra-day high of 38,957.44 before closing at 38,915.87, having grown sixfold during the decade. Subsequently, it lost nearly all these gains, closing at 7,054.98 on March 10, 2009—81.9% below its peak twenty years earlier.

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