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Euro paused to digest gains having reversed upward as expected against the US Dollar following two days of aggressive gains. Near-term resistance is at 1.1320, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 1.1439...
Forecasts
  • 2065
  • 2
  • 7
Sergey Golubev, 5 June 2015, 11:11 #Fibonacci
Goldman Sachs: The employment components of various manufacturing surveys have been weak (Dallas Fed manufacturing survey, Chicago PMI & the ISM services report) Mining sector job losses may persist and continue to be a drag GS say that the consensus forecast has overestimated jobs growth in...
Forecasts
  • 1593
  • 5
  • 5
Sergey Golubev, 5 June 2015, 09:44 #Goldman Sachs
"With unwavering consistency, the consensus continues to look for the CHF to weaken against the EUR, and with unwavering consistency, they are likely to be wrong again." "The specious logic of the bears is appealing...
Forecasts
  • 561
  • 2
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Sergey Golubev, 4 June 2015, 21:11 #technical analysis
According to Bloomberg: Economists forecast that the economy added 226,000 jobs in May, down from 223,000 in April, and unemployment rate is expected to stay unchanged at 5.4...
Forecasts
  • 256
  • 5
  • 7
Sergey Golubev, 4 June 2015, 18:11 #Goldman Sachs
The Euro rebounded against the US Dollar as expected having produced a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 1.1320 exposes the 61.8% level at 1.1439. Alternatively, a turn below the 38.2% Fib at 1.1202 opens the door for a challenge of the 1...
Forecasts
  • 1346
  • 2
  • 7
Sergey Golubev, 4 June 2015, 10:11 #price patterns
Analysts at Goldman Sachs are telling clients to look for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates above the current level of 0% in mid-September. However, in an email authored by Chief Economist Jan Hatzius, this forecast for rising interest rates to begin in September remains “a close call...
Forecasts
  • 172
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Sergey Golubev, 4 June 2015, 09:11 #Goldman Sachs
The euro rises followed volatile session when the single currency climbed more than 2 per cent against the dollar which was one of its biggest daily rises in more than three years...
Forecasts
  • 195
  • 3
Sergey Golubev, 3 June 2015, 18:11 #technical analysis
Europe's political leaders, central bankers and Greek politicians agree on only one thing: if Greece goes down, they don't want their fingerprints on the murder weapon. Athens ran out of cash a long time ago and is technically bankrupt in all but name...
Forecasts
  • 194
  • 1
marlon facey, 3 June 2015, 13:52 #IMF
2015-06-02 05:30 GMT (or 07:30 MQ MT5 time) | [AUD - Cash Rate] past data is 2.00% forecast data is 2.00% actual data is 2.00% according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for AUD in our case...
Forecasts
  • 514
  • 2
Sergey Golubev, 2 June 2015, 11:48 #Interest Rate
Cleaner positioning. "Equally, positioning metrics suggest that dollar longs have being pared back. A regression of currency manager index returns against the DXY now points to flat positioning, while the IMM shows a greater than 50% paring back in dollar longs," Deutsche Bank notes...
Forecasts
  • 772
  • 3
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Sergey Golubev, 1 June 2015, 06:11 #ECB
2015-05-29 02:00 GMT (or 04:00 MQ MT5 time) | [NZD - NBNZ Business Confidence] past data is 30.2 forecast data is n/a actual data is 15.7 according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for NZD in our case...
Forecasts
  • 985
  • 3
Sergey Golubev, 29 May 2015, 10:11 #nzdusd
2015-05-28 13:30 GMT (or 15:30 MQ MT5 time) | [USD - Unemployment Claims] past data is 275K forecast data is 271K actual data is 282K according to the latest press release if actual < forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for USD in our case...
Forecasts
  • 1265
  • 3
  • 3
Sergey Golubev, 28 May 2015, 15:22 #fundamental analysis
2015-05-28 02:30 GMT (or 04:30 MQ MT5 time) | [AUD - Private Capital Expenditure] past data is -1.7% forecast data is -2.3% actual data is -4.4% according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for AUD in our case...
Forecasts
  • 654
  • 2
  • 2
Sergey Golubev, 28 May 2015, 07:46 #fundamental analysis
The strong selloff in EURUSD since the start of last week suggests that the long-term downtrend may be resuming after a sub-50% retracement in April and early May. Friday's big Bearish Engulfing Candle, along with the break back below key previous-resistance-turned-support at 1...
Forecasts
  • 229
  • 3
  • 4
Sergey Golubev, 28 May 2015, 06:11 #price patterns
2015-05-27 15:00 GMT (or 17:00 MQ MT5 time) | [CAD - Overnight Rate] past data is 0.75% forecast data is 0.75% actual data is 0.75% according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for CAD in our case...
Forecasts
  • 218
  • 6
Sergey Golubev, 27 May 2015, 16:30 #Interest Rate
H4 price is located on primary bullish market condition for trying to break resistance level for the bullish to be continuing...
Forecasts
  • 700
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  • 5
Sergey Golubev, 26 May 2015, 15:34 #resistance, support
H4 price is on primary bearish market condition with secondary ranging between 1.0884 support and 1.1007 resistance levels. Chinkou Span line is located too far for any good possible breakout/breakdown today...
Forecasts
  • 1032
  • 5
  • 5
Sergey Golubev, 26 May 2015, 14:56 #resistance, support
US Dollar - "In the week ahead, there are plenty of indicators and Fed speeches on the docket. Yet, few of them really hit the high-profile level that we would expect to single-handedly benchmark the timing for the first rate hike...
Forecasts
  • 1124
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Sergey Golubev, 25 May 2015, 09:11 #fundamental analysis, gold
| WRITTEN BY ANAT DROR | The US dollar made a comeback and the greenback was a big loser in a week that saw trends change. And now, US Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence as well as UK, Canadian and US GDP data stand out. These are the highlight events in FOREX CALENDAR...
Forecasts
  • 204
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Francis Dogbe, 23 May 2015, 16:46
Do you remember early 2014 when every Wall Street analyst and economist said that T-bonds would be the worst investment for the year and people should sell them? As it turned out, for the 13 months ending January 31, 2015 T-bonds had the best performance of almost any investment sector...
Forecasts
  • 1447
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Sergey Golubev, 23 May 2015, 06:11 #Wall Street, stock market