December 17, 2025 Major FX, Gold & BTC Technical Summary

December 17, 2025 Major FX, Gold & BTC Technical Summary

17 12月 2025, 10:31
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 December 17, 2025

Major FX, Gold & BTC Technical Summary

🟩🟥⚪️ Legend

  • 🟩: Buy / Strong Buy

  • 🟥: Sell / Strong Sell

  • ⚪️: Neutral


💱 Multi-Timeframe Summary (Key Points)

🔹 Dollar Pairs

Pair Short-Term (5–15m) 1H Daily Assessment
EUR/USD 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy 🔄 Pullback in progress
GBP/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪️ Neutral ⏸ Deeper correction
AUD/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy 🔄 Pullback candidate

👉 EUR and AUD maintain daily uptrends, while short-term correction is clearly underway
→ For now, no chasing. Wait for signs of stabilization.


🔹 USD/JPY & Dollar Crosses

Pair Short-Term Daily Assessment
USD/JPY ⚪️ → 🟩 ⚪️ Neutral ⚠️ Highly volatile
USD/CAD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟥 Strong Sell 📉 Sell on rallies
USD/CHF 🟩 Short-term Buy 🟥 Strong Sell ⛔ Fake-out risk
USD/NZD 🟩 Short-term Buy ⚪️ Neutral ⚠️ Lack of direction

👉 The dollar is seeing short-term rebounds, but remains weak on the daily timeframe
→ USD longs should be treated as short-term only.


🔹 JPY Crosses (Most Important Zone)

Pair Short-Term Daily Assessment
EUR/JPY ⚪️ → 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Buy-the-dip
GBP/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Buy-the-dip
AUD/JPY ⚪️ → 🟩 🟩 Buy ⭐ Trend continuation
CAD/JPY ⚪️ → 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Core leader
CHF/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Trend

👉 Short-term selling is merely a temporary JPY rebound
→ On a daily basis, the weak-yen trend remains intact.


🔹 Gold & BTC

Asset Assessment
XAU/USD (Gold) 🟩 Strong Buy across all timeframes — dominant trend
BTC/USD 🟩 Short-term Buy → 🟥 Strong Sell on daily

👉 Gold continues to lead without meaningful corrections
BTC is bouncing short-term, but the daily downtrend remains heavy.


🧭 Overall Market Structure (Very Important)

Current market setup 👇

🔻 USD (medium-term)
🔻 JPY (short-term noise)
🔺 EUR & AUD
🔺 Gold

= “Weak USD × Real assets × JPY cross dominance” environment


🎯 Practical Trading Strategy

🟩 Priority Longs (Trend-Following)

  • XAU/USD (Gold)

  • CAD/JPY / CHF/JPY

  • Pullback entries only:

    • EUR/USD

    • AUD/USD

🟥 Sell-on-Rally Candidates

  • USD/CAD

  • USD/CHF

⚠️ Caution

  • GBP/USD:
    Daily neutral + short-term selling → stand aside.

  • USD/JPY:
    Direction unclear → low priority.


📝 One-Line Summary (For Weekly Reports / Alerts)

“Gold remains king, JPY crosses favor pullbacks.
Sell USD on rallies,
buy EUR on dips.”