📊 December 12, 2025 | Major Currencies, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview

📊 December 12, 2025 | Major Currencies, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview

12 12月 2025, 10:54
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 December 12, 2025 | Major Currencies, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview

Technical Summary (Latest)

🟩🟥⚪️ Legend

  • 🟩 Buy / Strong Buy

  • 🟥 Sell / Strong Sell

  • ⚪️ Neutral

💱 Multi-Timeframe Summary (Key Points)

🔹 Dollar Pairs

Pair Short-term (5–15m) 1H Daily Assessment
EUR/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Sell 🟩 Strong Buy 🔄 Pullback phase
GBP/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy 🔄 Pullback phase
AUD/USD 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪️ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy 🔄 Pullback candidate

👉 Short-term correction, while daily trends remain bullish
Best strategy: wait for pullbacks, not breakout chasing


🔹 USD/JPY & USD Crosses

Pair Short-term Daily Assessment
USD/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪️ Neutral ⚠️ Short-term USD rebound
USD/CAD ⚪️ → 🟥 🟥 Strong Sell 📉 Sell rallies
USD/CHF 🟩 Short-term Buy 🟥 Strong Sell ⛔ Beware of false moves
USD/NZD 🟩 Short-term Buy 🟥 Strong Sell ⛔ Counter-trend risk

👉 USD is rebounding short-term, but medium-term trend remains bearish
→ Except for USD/JPY, maintain a sell-the-rally bias


🔹 JPY Crosses (Most Important)

Pair Short-term Daily Assessment
EUR/JPY 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Core theme
GBP/JPY 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Core theme
AUD/JPY ⚪️ → 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Buy dips
CAD/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Trend continuation
CHF/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Established trend

👉 JPY is broadly weak; JPY crosses show the cleanest trends
Best area for trend-following trades in the current market


🔹 Gold & BTC

Asset Assessment
XAU/USD (Gold) 🟩 Strong Buy on all timeframes — strongest trend
BTC/USD 🟩 Short-to-mid-term Buy / ⚪️ Daily Neutral

👉 Gold remains the clear leader
BTC is rebounding on risk-on sentiment, but priority remains below gold


🧭 Overall Market Structure (Very Important)

The current market is clearly shaped as follows:

🔻 USD (medium-term)
🔻 JPY
🔺 EUR / GBP / AUD
🔺 Gold

= “Non-USD strength × JPY selling × real-asset leadership” market


🎯 Actionable Trading Strategy

🟩 Priority Longs (Trend-Following)

  • XAU/USD (Gold)

  • EUR/JPY / GBP/JPY / CAD/JPY

  • Dollar pairs only on pullbacks:

    • EUR/USD

    • GBP/USD

    • AUD/USD

🟥 Sell-the-Rally Candidates

  • USD/CAD

  • USD/NZD

  • USD/CHF (ignore short-term bounces)

⚠️ Caution

  • EUR/USD & GBP/USD are:

    • “Short-term counter-move vs daily uptrend”

    • Avoid chasing; wait for weakening on 15m–1H charts


📝 One-Line Summary (Perfect for Weekly Reports)

“The dollar is rebounding, but the trend remains bearish.
JPY crosses and gold are the main drivers.
Dollar pairs should be bought only on pullbacks.”