📊 Technical Market Overview – Major FX, Gold, BTC

📊 Technical Market Overview – Major FX, Gold, BTC

21 11月 2025, 11:49
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Market Overview – Major FX, Gold, BTC

November 21, 2025

🟩🟥⚪️ Color Legend

Color Meaning
🟩 Buy Buy / Strong Buy bias
🟥 Sell Sell / Strong Sell bias
⚪️ Neutral No clear direction / Mixed

💱 Multi-Timeframe Summary
Pair 5m 15m 1H Daily
EUR/USD ⚪️ 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/JPY ⚪️ ⚪️ 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
AUD/USD 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪️ 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/CAD ⚪️ 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/CHF 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/NZD 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪️ ⚪️ 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/JPY 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
AUD/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪️ 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CAD/JPY ⚪️ ⚪️ 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CHF/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
XAU/USD (Gold) 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪️
NZD/JPY ⚪️ ⚪️ 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/GBP 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/AUD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪️ 🟩 Strong Buy
NZD/CAD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟥 Strong Sell
BTC/USD ⚪️ 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell

⚙️ Market Characteristics (Today’s Key Takeaways)

🔥 1. Yen Weakness Is “Strong on Daily,” but Short-Term Flows Favor Yen Strength

EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, CAD/JPY → Daily: strong buy (yen weakness)
But all short-term timeframes → sell bias (yen strength)

👉 A clear “short-term yen strength vs. long-term yen weakness” divergence.
Currently a pullback phase for potential dip-buy setups.


🟥 2. GBP Is the Weakest Currency Across the Board

  • GBP/USD → Strong Sell on all timeframes

  • GBP/JPY → Strong Sell on short to mid-term charts

👉 UK data deterioration + rate-cut expectations are weighing heavily.


3. USD Strength Diverges Across Pairs

  • USD/CAD & USD/CHF → Strong Buy across all timeframes (USD strongest group)

  • USD/JPY → Mixed (short-term sell, daily strong buy)

  • EUR/USD → Consistent USD strength (EUR weakness)

👉 Overall: USD strong vs JPY & EUR,
but the dollar’s own trend is not unified across the board.


💛 4. Gold (XAU/USD) Turns Lower Again

  • 5m / 15m / 1H → Strong Sell

  • Daily → Neutral

👉 Trend recovery still looks distant; sellers remain in control.


📉 5. BTC (≈$83,000) Continues Its Downtrend

  • Strong Sell across mid to long-term

  • No meaningful rebound signals

👉 Bearish trend firmly intact.


🥇 Top Strength Ranking (Buy Bias)
Rank Pair Comment
1. USD/CHF Strongest uptrend across all timeframes
2. USD/CAD Consistent mid-to-long-term strength
3. EUR/GBP Clear EUR strength × GBP weakness
4. EUR/AUD (Daily) Long-term EUR trend turning higher
5. NZD/CAD (Short-Term) Strong short-term upward momentum

🟥 Weakness Ranking (Sell Bias)
Rank Pair Comment
1. GBP/USD Weakest currency pair — sell on all timeframes
2. EUR/JPY (Short-Term) Selling pressure on all but daily
3. GBP/JPY (Short–Mid Term) Yen strength + GBP weakness combo
4. XAU/USD Strong bearish alignment on 3 timeframes
5. BTC/USD Clear mid-to-long-term downtrend

🎯 Trade Strategy

🟩 Dip-Buy Candidates (Long-Term Uptrends)

  • USD/CHF

  • USD/CAD

  • EUR/GBP

  • EUR/AUD (long-term)

  • CAD/JPY (daily)


🟥 Sell-on-Rally Candidates (Short–Mid Term Downtrends)

  • GBP/USD

  • EUR/USD

  • AUD/USD

  • EUR/JPY (short-term)

  • BTC/USD

  • XAU/USD


⚪️ Wait-and-See (Mixed Signals / No Clear Direction)

  • USD/JPY

  • NZD/JPY

  • AUD/JPY

  • NZD/CAD