📊 Technical Overview — Major Currencies, Gold & BTC 📅 October 14, 2025

📊 Technical Overview — Major Currencies, Gold & BTC 📅 October 14, 2025

14 10月 2025, 10:25
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Overview — Major Currencies, Gold & BTC
📅 October 14, 2025

🟩🟥⚪ Color Legend

🟩 = Bullish (Uptrend) 🟥 = Bearish (Downtrend) ⚪ = Neutral (Range / Correction)


💱 Multi-Timeframe Trend Matrix

Pair / Asset 5-min 15-min 1-hr Daily
EUR/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/JPY 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
AUD/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/CAD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/CHF 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/NZD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Buy
AUD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral
CAD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CHF/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
XAU/USD (Gold) 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
NZD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
EUR/GBP 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪ Neutral
EUR/AUD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
NZD/CAD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
BTC/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell

⚙️ Trend Summary

📉 Bearish Bias — Expanding Risk-Off Sentiment

  • Euro, Pound, Aussie, and Kiwi broadly weaker
    EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/JPY are in full-scale downtrends across all timeframes.
    → Driven by growth fears and a resurgent dollar, risk aversion dominates.

  • Cross-yen pairs continue short-term declines
    → Yen buying on intervention caution and profit-taking, though daily charts still show a long-term yen-weak bias.

  • BTC/USD drops sharply, nearing $110K, reflecting broad risk-asset liquidation.


📈 Bullish Bias — Dollar, Safe Havens, and Commodity Links

  • Dollar Index remains firm
    USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/NZD all in “strong buy” mode on every timeframe.
    → Backed by U.S. economic resilience and expectations of steady Fed policy.

  • Gold (XAU/USD) stays firm above $4,100, with short-term dips still treated as buying opportunities.

  • EUR/AUD shows consistent strength across all timeframes, highlighting Aussie weakness.


💡 Cross-Market Structure

Group Trend Commentary
USD 🟩 Strong Buy Dollar dominates all majors.
EUR / GBP / AUD 🟥 Strong Sell Europe & commodity currencies under broad pressure.
JPY ⚪ Short-term rebound / long-term sell Intervention-related yen buying short term, long-term yen weakness persists.
Gold / BTC 🟩 Gold strong / 🟥 BTC weak Risk aversion supports gold, while crypto faces liquidation.

🪙 Top 3 Focus Pairs

  1. USD/CAD (1.4072)
    → Strong buy on all timeframes. CAD weighed by weaker energy prices.
    → Upside targets: 1.4150 – 1.4200.

  2. XAU/USD ($4,127)
    → Dip-buying remains favored. Short-term sell-offs are profit-taking opportunities.
    → Break above 4,150 would mark new record highs.

  3. EUR/AUD (1.79 area)
    → Ongoing Euro strength vs. Aussie weakness. Medium-term breakout above 1.80 in focus.


⚠️ Watchlist / Risk Zones

  • EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD — Maintain sell-on-rally bias.

  • NZD/CAD, NZD/JPY — Dual pressure from weak commodities and soft NZD.

  • BTC/USD — Ongoing correction; $110K psychological support in focus.


🧭 Summary Comment

The market has shifted decisively into “Dollar-Dominant, Risk-Off” mode.
Cross-yen pairs remain under pressure short term, but yen strength is likely temporary as long as USD/JPY holds above 152.
Short-term: Favor selling EUR and AUD.
Medium-term: Maintain long USD and long Gold positioning.
The combination of Dollar strength, risk aversion, and persistent volatility defines mid-October trading.