📊 Technical Overview – Major FX, Gold & BTC 📅 October 10, 2025

10 10月 2025, 11:34
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Overview – Major FX, Gold & BTC
📅 October 10, 2025

🟩🟥⚪ Color Legend

  • 🟩 Bullish (Uptrend)

  • 🟥 Bearish (Downtrend)

  • Neutral (Range / Consolidation)


💱 Trend Matrix (Multi-Timeframe Analysis)

Pair / Asset 5-min 15-min 1-hr Daily
EUR/USD ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/JPY 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
AUD/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
USD/CAD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Sell ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/CHF 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪ Neutral 🟩 Strong Buy
USD/NZD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
GBP/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
AUD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CAD/JPY ⚪ Neutral 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
CHF/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
XAU/USD (Gold) 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
NZD/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/GBP 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy
EUR/AUD 🟩 Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟥 Strong Sell
NZD/CAD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell
BTC/USD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy

⚙️ Trend Summary

📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish

  • Broad weakness across European and commodity currenciesEUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY remain in short-term downtrends.
    → Driven by risk-off sentiment and a strong-dollar environment.

  • Cross-yen pairs show temporary pullbacks; while daily trends stay bullish, short-term yen buying has emerged as profit-taking.

📈 Medium- to Long-Term Bias: Bullish

  • USD/JPY – Despite short-term pullback, the daily uptrend continues above ¥152; testing Japan’s intervention line.

  • Gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
    Both show bullish signals across all timeframes.
    Gold consolidates around $4,000, near record highs.
    Bitcoin remains firm above $120K, supported by liquidity flows and alternative-asset demand.

  • EUR/GBP – Bullish on all frames; euro strength versus a soft pound persists.


🪙 Top 3 Focus Assets

  1. XAU/USD (Gold)
    → Strong buy across all timeframes.
    → Supported by persistent inflation outlook and geopolitical hedging.
    → Buying dips favored; a breakout above $4,050–4,080 opens new highs.

  2. USD/NZD
    → Dollar-led rally intact; strong buy signals across the board.
    → A move above 1.74 would extend bullish momentum.

  3. EUR/GBP
    → Euro strength vs. U.K. weakness; steady upward trend.
    → Favor dip-buying within the channel.


⚠️ Downside / Risk Pairs

Pair Overview
GBP/USD, AUD/USD Strong sell across all frames; vulnerable under risk-off conditions.
EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY Cross-yen pairs entering short-term corrections; watch for temporary yen rebound.
NZD/CAD Persistent downtrend; pressured by weaker commodities and NZD softness.

🌍 Macro Market Structure (as of Oct 2025)

Theme Current Situation
💵 Sustained Dollar Strength Solid U.S. growth and steady Fed policy keep demand for USD elevated.
💴 Yen Weakness Losing Momentum BOJ still dovish, but intervention fears intensify above ¥152.
💰 Gold & BTC Rally Coexistence of liquidity-driven and risk-hedge demand.
🇪🇺 Euro Firm vs Pound U.K. slowdown concerns drive EUR/GBP higher.

Overall Summary

Mid-October markets display a blend of short-term risk-off and long-term risk-on dynamics.
Cross-yen, AUD, and GBP pairs face corrective pullbacks, while Gold, BTC, and USD/NZD sustain strong upward trends.
The structure remains mixed but resilient — with dollar strength, gold firmness, and sustained yen weakness defining the tone heading into next week.