📰 US-China Trade Talks Day 2: Markets Brace for Volatility Based on Headlines
分析と予測

📰 US-China Trade Talks Day 2: Markets Brace for Volatility Based on Headlines

10 6月 2025, 09:54
Masayuki Sakamoto
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📰 US-China Trade Talks Day 2: Markets Brace for Volatility Based on Headlines

The second day of US-China trade negotiations is underway. Yesterday's discussions reportedly concluded with both sides exploring each other's "negotiating cards," including China's rare earth export strategy and the US's partial easing of restrictions on AI chip exports (specifically NVIDIA products).

📉 Uneasy Market Movements in Tokyo Afternoon Trading

After 2 PM, Chinese rare earth stocks surged, but the broader Chinese market declined. This dragged down the Nikkei 225 and European stock futures.

The dollar-yen pair also saw a sharp drop from just under ¥145 to ¥144.40 at one point, with other yen crosses also strengthening against the dollar. The specific catalyst remains unclear, indicating that market unease is coming to the forefront.

📌 Key Points to Watch Today

🕕 US-China Talks Day 2 (Starting 6 PM JST)

Discussions are set to resume in London. The outcome – whether a positive agreement message emerges or friction comes to the surface – could be a trend-changing factor for the market.

📊 Economic Indicators

  • South Africa: Manufacturing Production (April)
  • United States: 3-Year Note Auction ($58 billion)

Note: There are few other significant market catalysts, so focus will be squarely on US-China headlines.

🗣️ ECB Official Remarks

  • François Villeroy de Galhau (Governor of the Bank of France)
  • Robert Holzmann (Governor of the Austrian National Bank)
  • Philip Lane (Chief Economist of the European Central Bank)

💹 Current Strategy Memo (Bitcoin-Centric)

Currently, a risk-on sentiment is prevalent. I am holding a long position in BTC/USD.

  • Immediate Resistance: $110,000

The key is whether Bitcoin can break above this resistance. A successful breakthrough would usher in the next upward phase, while a rejection could prompt profit-taking.

📝 Summary

The progress of the US-China negotiations has a high probability of influencing all markets: forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. While the current sentiment is optimistic, there's always a risk of switching from "hope to disappointment." Therefore, position management and quick reactions are crucial today.


#trade, Day, US-China, Talks, 2