📊 December 18, 2025 Major Currencies, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview

📊 December 18, 2025 Major Currencies, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview

18 12月 2025, 10:15
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 December 18, 2025

Major Currencies, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview

🟩🟥⚪️ Legend

  • 🟩 Buy / Strong Buy

  • 🟥 Sell / Strong Sell

  • ⚪️ Neutral


💱 Multi-Timeframe Summary (Key Takeaways)

🔹 Dollar Pairs

Instrument Short Term (5–15m) 1H Daily Assessment
EUR/USD 🟥 Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy 🔄 Pullback in progress
GBP/USD 🟥 Strong Sell 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Buy ⚠️ Waiting for rebound
AUD/USD ⚪️ → 🟩 🟩 Buy 🟩 Buy 🔄 Pullback candidate

👉 EUR and GBP remain in short-term corrective phases.
→ Daily trends are intact; the base case is to wait for downside exhaustion and buy dips.
AUD/USD shows relative resilience compared with peers.


🔹 USD/JPY & Dollar Crosses

Instrument Short Term Daily Assessment
USD/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪️ Neutral ⚠️ Short-term driven
USD/CAD 🟩 Strong Buy 🟥 Strong Sell 📉 Rally-selling favored
USD/CHF 🟩 Strong Buy 🟥 Strong Sell ⛔ Risk of reversal
USD/NZD 🟩 Strong Buy ⚪️ Neutral ⚠️ Volatile

👉 Dollar buying dominates short-term flows,
→ but daily charts remain weak, suggesting USD longs should be tactical and short-lived.


🔹 Yen Crosses (Key Focus Area)

Instrument Short Term Daily Assessment
EUR/JPY ⚪️ → 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Buy-the-dip
GBP/JPY 🟥 Strong Sell 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Buy-the-dip
AUD/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Buy ⭐ Trend continuation
CAD/JPY 🟩 Strong Buy 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Leading pair
CHF/JPY 🟥 → 🟩 🟩 Strong Buy ⭐ Established trend

👉 Short-term JPY strength remains corrective only.
→ On a daily basis, the yen-weakening trend is clearly intact.


🔹 Gold & Bitcoin

Instrument Assessment
XAU/USD (Gold) 🟥 Short-term correction / 🟩 Strong daily uptrend
BTC/USD 🟩 Short–medium-term rebound / 🟥 Heavy daily structure

👉 Gold is consolidating short term, but the daily uptrend remains the strongest theme.
Bitcoin continues to rebound tactically, but daily resistance warrants caution.


🧭 Broader Market Structure (Key View)

Current macro-technical alignment:

🔻 USD (medium-term)
🔻 JPY (short-term noise)
🔺 EUR / GBP / AUD
🔺 Gold

= A market defined by
“USD softness × structural JPY weakness × real-asset leadership.”


🎯 Trade-Focused Strategy Summary

🟩 Priority Longs (Trend-Following)

  • XAU/USD (Gold)

  • CAD/JPY / CHF/JPY / AUD/JPY
    (pullbacks only)

  • EUR/USD / GBP/USD
    (dip-buying only)

🟥 Rally-Sell Candidates

  • USD/CAD

  • USD/CHF

⚠️ Caution

  • USD/JPY: Short-term driven, volatile; avoid chasing

  • BTC/USD: Daily trend remains bearish; keep long exposure light


📝 One-Line Summary (Weekly / Flash Use)

“Short-term dollar rebound,
trends favor yen crosses and gold.
Dollar pairs are buys only after pullbacks.”