Oil steadies Tuesday after gaining in prior two sessions

Oil steadies Tuesday after gaining in prior two sessions

3 February 2015, 06:56
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On Tuesday oil futures continued to firm, adding to growth of more than 11 percent in the prior two sessions, but ongoing worries over China's demand outlook restrained further gains, says Reuters.

Some market players consider a bottom has formed to the seven-month long rout on the market, with signs that a fall-off in drilling activity into U.S. shale deposits has raised fears future production.

However, OPEC delegates said prices may stay depressed until summer due to weak seasonal demand even as Saudi Arabia's strategy of curbing the output growth of rival producers shows results.

Prices surged in the past two days after data showed the number of U.S. oil drilling rigs had fallen the most in a week in nearly 30 years. Month-end covering by traders taking profits on earlier short positions added to the rally.

Thus, Brent crude oil futures were 34 cents higher at $55.09 a barrel by 0508 GMT. U.S. WTI futures were at $49.88 a barrel, up 31 cents.

"The seeds of an oil price recovery are being sown," Bernstein analysts said in a note, warning of further downside risk to oil supply in places such as the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea and Brazil as companies cut costs in response to the up to 60 percent fall in oil prices since mid-June.

"Supply is unlikely to match expectations and demand will recover from last year's lows," the analysts said.

Two OPEC delegates told Reuters they could not rule out prices dropping to as low as $30-$35 due to weak demand combined with global refinery maintenance in the first and second quarters of 2015.

Demand in Asia remained weak, with disappointing factory sector activity in China, which raised questions about energy consumption in Asia's largest economy.

Morgan Stanley said in a note that its China Pulse Business Condition Survey for Energy for last December recorded two-thirds of the respondents expecting the factory sector's conditions to either worsen slightly or significantly, with only a third expecting an unchanged outlook.

No participants in the survey saw conditions improving slightly or significantly.

Tuesday would be the third day of strikes at US oil refineries, potentially adding to the supply that has been weighing on prices the past seven months.

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