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Analysts at TD Securities are calling a further thrust lower to 108.50 in USD/JPY. Brokers TD Securities have put out a call for the USD/JPY rate to break lower extending to a target at 108.50. “We think short positions in USDJPY offer a compelling risk/reward profile...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 21:59 #usd/jpy
Our economics team’s view has been that tightening in financial conditions and market disruptions will ultimately prevent the Fed from tightening rates further this year. The message from this week’s FOMC is that the Committee agrees with this view, at least for now...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 21:57
Despite rising core inflation and falling unemployment, the Fed stays on hold, and lowers their outlook for rate hikes in 2016, notes UBS. "Lower for longer, but same pace once they really get going As expected, the Fed left rates on hold (Kansas City Fed President George dissented...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 20:40 #FOMC
According to analysts from TDS, the decline in USD/ZAR, after the FED and the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) decision, could be an opportunity to re-establish long positions. “The SARB hiked the repo rate by 25bp to 7.00% in a split decision that was all but easy to call...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 20:21
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo mitsubishi explained that forward implied interest rate differentials show markets looking for less RMB depreciation vs. USD (but still in line with our forecasts...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 20:19
Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman explained that many investors and journalists were worried about the US slipping into a recession. "However, Q4 15 growth was revised up, and Q1 16 growth is returning to the post-crisis trend pace near 2...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 19:49
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi noted that the BoJ modified its negative interest rate policy this week by including Money Reserve Funds and doubling the size of Loan Support Program borrowings in the Macro Add-On Balance. "The Fed also left monetary policy intact...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 18:46
Analysts from Danske Bank expect EUR/USD to remain between 1.10 and 1.14 after yesterday’s FOMC dovish message to the markets. “Needless to say, the surprisingly dovish message sent USD crosses lower across the board with EUR/USD testing new post-ECB highs above the 1.12 level...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 18:41 #EUR/USD
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi explained that the FOMC statement, forecast updates and press conference from Chair Yellen have all helped provide EUR/USD with support and the degree of Fed dovishness and the momentum in favour of dollar selling suggests upside risks from here for the week a...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 17:37 #EUR/USD
The surprised dovishness of the Fed is leaving its mark on the rates market and USD. In our view, it seems as though USD may be returning to where it was in February, unable to decide whether to appreciate or to depreciate in the medium term...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 17:19
James Knightley, Research Analyst at ING, notes that the Bank of England voted unanimously to leave Bank Rate at 0.5% and the size of the asset purchase facility at £375bn...
According to analysts from Danske Bank, the decision and the statement from the Federal Reserve, was a very dovish message to the markets. “As widely expected, the Fed maintained the Fed funds target rate unchanged at 0.25%- 0.50% (Kansas City Fed’s George dissented and voted for a hike...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 16:44 #Fed
Fears of Donald Trump's isolationist agenda may be impacting negatively on the dollar. Analysts at Credit Suisse have broadly down-graded their outlook for the dollar based on the potential devaluation caused by of fears Donald Trump could be the next president of the U...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 16:40
The Fed kept rates unchanged in March but lowered significantly its median projections for future rates in 2016, 2017 and beyond. The Fed did all that while keeping its growth, inflation and unemployment forecasts for the US little changed...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 16:36
After testing a multi month descending trend at 1.08 earlier this month, EUR/USD has embarked on a recovery and is now breaking above 1.1250 which happens to be the 76.4% retracement from last month highs, notes SocGen. "More importantly it is the upper limit of a weekly descending channel...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 16:24
Talk of the BOJ doing a ring-around Here we go with the intervention stuff. For those that don't know the drill, the BOJ like to pick up the phone to banks just to ask the rate. That's usually enough to have the market covering for fear of real intervention...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 17 March 2016, 16:15
The U.S. Federal Reserve's latest economic projections contain an encoded message crucial to understanding the central bank's policies: Inflation has been stuck below the Fed's target in part because officials don’t actually want to get it back up...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 17 March 2016, 16:10 #Fed
BNP Paribas economists remain of the view that the economic backdrop will remain too uncertain to allow a rise in Fed rates in the short-term, while slower growth later this year will keep it on hold for longer...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 17 March 2016, 15:02 #EUR/USD
The result of the short position in #EURUSD was fixed on a breakthrough of the fractal level up. Here we have opened a long position, which currently brings more than 150 points of #profit. Find out more by checking out the Source Link...
The result of the short position in #Gold was fixed at the level of fractal up. Here we have opened an order to buy, which is now in the market. Find out more by checking out the Source Link. Please note that this post was originally published on Vistabrokers.com...