According to analysts from Danske Bank, Brexit could trigger a downgrade in UK sovereign rating but might not necessarily change foreign investors’s appetite for Gilts dramatically...
Our CORAX positioning report neatly summarized the lack of currency market conviction as position squaring was rampant into the Fed. However investors held onto yen longs after the BoJ meeting and sold NZD in size after the surprise RBNZ cut so markets are not completely dormant yet. What next...
Shaun Osborne Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank explained that sterling finds itself at the bottom of the overnight performance league, reflecting renewed difficulties on the home political front...
Analysts at UOB Group noted that the dollar rose against most major currencies on Friday, recovering from a five-month low. "EUR/USD saw lows of 1.1256, after ECB’s Praet says interest rates have not reached their lower limit and a rate cut remains part of the ECB armoury...
Given negative economic fundamentals, political woes and the looming threat of a credit rating downgrade the outlook argues for a weakening of the rand against the pound sterling. The charts, however, are not nearly so clear-cut...
Eric Theoret, CFA, CMT FX Strategist at Scotiabank explained that they note that CFTC positioning has deteriorated for the first time in six weeks. "...with a sizeable reduction in JPY longs and modest build in shorts...
According to analysts from Danske Bank, in a three-month horizon, US yields have little scope to rise. “The dovish message was a relatively big surprise as the US data have improved, risk sentiment has rebounded and core inflation has accelerated...
*Westpac Bank, Westpac Banking Corporation — one of the largest banks in Australia, members of the "big four" banks and the second largest Bank in New Zealand. Below are the latest forecasts on currency pairs from Westpac. ** Westpac projections, last update 18th of March...
GBP has come under fire at the start of the week on political developments but eyes are already focussed on the all-important inflation data out on Tuesday. GBP still on course to record a decent month’s recovery against both USD and EUR Pound to dollar exchange rate down half a percent at 1...
Analysts at Rabobank offered the IMM Net Speculators’ Positioning as at 15 March 2016. "EUR shorts have now increased for a third consecutive week suggesting that the dovish stance of the ECB is having an impact on the currency. USD longs declined for a sixth straight week...
The way things are shaping up on the oil price panic barometer, 17 April is now a D-Day of sorts for the industry. It’s the day both OPEC and non-OPEC countries will (reportedly) sit down together in Doha, Qatar, to work towards an output freeze deal...
A fairly quiet session overall, but notable for some USD claw-backs after last week’s FOMC induced sell off. Sharp gains were seen in Cable at the time, but since tipping 1.4500, the pair has been looking pretty heavy, and after the IDS resignation over the weekend, sellers have been out in force...
XAU/USD: Near Resistance Level of 1258.00 On the weekly chart the pair XAU/USD has rebounded from strong resistance level of 1258.00 (ЕМА200) and is going down to support level of 1238.00 (ЕМА144). The indicators OsMA and Stochastic are reversing towards the short positions...
Pessimism over the divergence trade is compounded by worries that the February G20 meeting may have seen a behind-the-scenes agreement for the ECB and BoJ to desist from policies that could push the Dollar stronger...
XAU/USD: will the Price of Gold Reaches the Level of 1300 USD per Ounce? Despite the decline in the price of gold in the last three days, market participants believe the gold will resume growth and by the end of this year the price can reach the level of 1300 USD per ounce...
Analysts at BNP Paribas explained French growth should accelerate very mildly. "French growth should accelerate very mildly.to an average annual rate of 1.2% in 2016 and 1.3% in 2017 (after 1...
FXWIREPRO: EUR/USD Gains Some Upside Momentum But Outlook Strongly Bearish EUR has made short squeeze against US dollar by hitting high at 1.1263 after negative Existing Home Sales. However, the gains should be limited around 1.1280 as the resistance level at 1...
EUR/USD: Stochastic is Leaving Overbought Zone Following the US Fed decision on 16 March, the pair EUR/USD has grown over 200 points, exceeding Fibonacci retracement of 23.6% to the last wave of decline with the highs of 2014 crossing the level of 1.1285, over 60 points...