USDCHF Daily Forecast: March 18 2016 USDCHF Forecast The USDCHF continued its bearish momentum yesterday bottomed at 0.9650. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 0.9600 – 0.9570 region. Immediate resistance is seen around 0.9730...
Oil continues to recover despite lingering supply concerns and this is pushing the USD/CAD exchange rate lower. The price of oil continues to rise despite continued evidence of over-supply, with WTI reaching above $40/barrel on Thursday March 17...
Earlier this week, we wrote a piece on the AUD/USD highlighting the potential for a pullback after China's industrial production growth eased more than expected (click HERE for details...
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi explained that renewed USD strength should still materialise but from weaker level. "Our current dollar forecasts (Foreign Exchange Outlook 1st March) were based on two rate increases this year and two still seems most likely – in June and December...
Analysts at TD Securities are calling a further thrust lower to 108.50 in USD/JPY. Brokers TD Securities have put out a call for the USD/JPY rate to break lower extending to a target at 108.50. “We think short positions in USDJPY offer a compelling risk/reward profile...
Our economics team’s view has been that tightening in financial conditions and market disruptions will ultimately prevent the Fed from tightening rates further this year. The message from this week’s FOMC is that the Committee agrees with this view, at least for now...
Despite rising core inflation and falling unemployment, the Fed stays on hold, and lowers their outlook for rate hikes in 2016, notes UBS. "Lower for longer, but same pace once they really get going As expected, the Fed left rates on hold (Kansas City Fed President George dissented...
According to analysts from TDS, the decline in USD/ZAR, after the FED and the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) decision, could be an opportunity to re-establish long positions. “The SARB hiked the repo rate by 25bp to 7.00% in a split decision that was all but easy to call...
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo mitsubishi explained that forward implied interest rate differentials show markets looking for less RMB depreciation vs. USD (but still in line with our forecasts...
Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman explained that many investors and journalists were worried about the US slipping into a recession. "However, Q4 15 growth was revised up, and Q1 16 growth is returning to the post-crisis trend pace near 2...
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi noted that the BoJ modified its negative interest rate policy this week by including Money Reserve Funds and doubling the size of Loan Support Program borrowings in the Macro Add-On Balance. "The Fed also left monetary policy intact...
Analysts from Danske Bank expect EUR/USD to remain between 1.10 and 1.14 after yesterday’s FOMC dovish message to the markets. “Needless to say, the surprisingly dovish message sent USD crosses lower across the board with EUR/USD testing new post-ECB highs above the 1.12 level...
Analysts at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi explained that the FOMC statement, forecast updates and press conference from Chair Yellen have all helped provide EUR/USD with support and the degree of Fed dovishness and the momentum in favour of dollar selling suggests upside risks from here for the week a...
The surprised dovishness of the Fed is leaving its mark on the rates market and USD. In our view, it seems as though USD may be returning to where it was in February, unable to decide whether to appreciate or to depreciate in the medium term...
James Knightley, Research Analyst at ING, notes that the Bank of England voted unanimously to leave Bank Rate at 0.5% and the size of the asset purchase facility at £375bn...
According to analysts from Danske Bank, the decision and the statement from the Federal Reserve, was a very dovish message to the markets. “As widely expected, the Fed maintained the Fed funds target rate unchanged at 0.25%- 0.50% (Kansas City Fed’s George dissented and voted for a hike...
Fears of Donald Trump's isolationist agenda may be impacting negatively on the dollar. Analysts at Credit Suisse have broadly down-graded their outlook for the dollar based on the potential devaluation caused by of fears Donald Trump could be the next president of the U...
The Fed kept rates unchanged in March but lowered significantly its median projections for future rates in 2016, 2017 and beyond. The Fed did all that while keeping its growth, inflation and unemployment forecasts for the US little changed...
After testing a multi month descending trend at 1.08 earlier this month, EUR/USD has embarked on a recovery and is now breaking above 1.1250 which happens to be the 76.4% retracement from last month highs, notes SocGen. "More importantly it is the upper limit of a weekly descending channel...
