Tokyo Sniper Shin USDJPY for MT4
- Эксперты
-
Keisuke Ikeda
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HAKASE & KEISUKE
🇯🇵 Эксперты токийской сессии из Японии 🇯🇵
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Здравствуйте!
Мы — команда HAKASE & KEISUKE.
Более 10 лет мы торгуем на японском
валютном рынке, специализируясь на паре USDJPY. - Версия: 1.0
- Активации: 5
TOKYO SNIPER SHIN
Fully Automated USDJPY EA Based on Japanese Real-Demand FX Flows
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🎯 WHAT IS TOKYO SNIPER SHIN?
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Tokyo Sniper Shin is a fully automated Expert Advisor designed exclusively for USDJPY on MetaTrader 4.
It combines four independent trading logics built around real-demand FX flows and time-based characteristics specific to the Japanese market.
The objective is not to chase aggressive short-term returns, but to selectively trade situations with a clear underlying rationale and focus on medium- to long-term operation.
✅ No Martingale
✅ No Grid
✅ No Averaging Down
✅ USDJPY only
✅ M1 only
✅ Low-frequency, selective trading
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📊 22+ YEAR LONG-TERM BACKTEST
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USDJPY / M1
Initial Deposit: $1,000
Risk: 1%
Money Management: Non-compounding
Test Period: January 2004 – July 2026
💰 Net Profit: +$5,818.30
📈 Profit Factor: 1.97
🛡 Maximum Drawdown Amount: $138.80
📉 MT4 Relative Drawdown: 5.52%
📌 Maximum Drawdown Amount vs. Initial $1,000: 13.88%
🔄 Total Trades: 4,961
🎯 Win Rate: 62.31%
✅ Modeling Quality: 99.90%
✅ 2004–2025
✅ 22 consecutive profitable calendar years
※2026 is still a partial year and is not included in the 22-year count
※Monthly and yearly results using 3% risk with the same non-compounding method are also provided as reference data
※All results are historical backtest results and do not guarantee future performance
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📡 LIVE SIGNAL
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Tokyo Sniper Shin live trading performance is published through MQL5 Signals.
🔴 MQL5 Live Signal
https://www.mql5.com/ja/signals/2385024
The signal allows you to review actual live-account performance in addition to historical backtest results.
Available information includes:
✅ Profit and loss history
✅ Drawdown
✅ Trading history
✅ Win rate
✅ Holding time
✅ Actual entry activity
※Live performance may differ from backtest results due to spread, slippage, execution quality, and other trading conditions
※Live signal performance does not guarantee future results
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🔥 LAUNCH PROMOTION 🔥
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Limited launch pricing.
The price will increase in stages based on the number of copies sold.
🎁 First 5 buyers ............ $299 ← Current Price
⏰ Next 5 buyers ............. $399
⏰ Next 10 buyers ............ $549
⏰ Next 10 buyers ............ $749
🏁 Final Price ............... $999
The price is scheduled to move to the next tier once each sales threshold is reached.
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🎁 LAUNCH BONUS — FIRST 20 BUYERS
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The first 20 buyers of Tokyo Sniper Shin will receive:
“Tokyo Sniper Classic”
as a launch bonus at no additional cost.
Tokyo Sniper Classic is the previous version developed and operated before Shin.
Reviewing or running the Classic version alongside Shin makes it possible to compare differences in logic and trading behavior.
✅ Tokyo Sniper Classic
✅ Regular value: $299
✅ Limited to the first 20 buyers
✅ No additional charge
The bonus ends once the 21st sale is recorded.
After purchase, please send a private message through MQL5 to request the bonus.
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🔥 THE CONCEPT BEHIND TOKYO SNIPER SHIN
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The core development question behind Tokyo Sniper is:
“Why do real-demand flows appear in USDJPY at specific times of the day?”
Rather than simply combining conditions that performed well in historical tests, Tokyo Sniper Shin focuses on a more fundamental question:
“Why does this price behavior occur?”
Market structure and the underlying reason behind each condition are treated as essential.
Based on data collected through the operation and evaluation of Tokyo Sniper Classic, each logic was re-examined for Shin.
Instead of adding parameters simply to fit recent market conditions, Shin was rebuilt from the original question:
“Why does the flow appear at that specific time, and why does it fade afterward?”
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⚙️ FOUR INDEPENDENT REAL-DEMAND FLOW LOGICS
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【1】Gotobi-Day Buy Logic
This logic focuses on Japan’s well-known “Gotobi” settlement days, when corporate import payments can create increased demand for US dollars.
Target dates:
5th / 10th / 15th / 20th / 25th / Month-end
The logic seeks to capture dollar demand that may develop ahead of the 9:55 a.m. Tokyo fixing.
In Shin, Gotobi days are not treated as one identical group.
The time characteristics of each type of Gotobi day were re-evaluated individually.
【2】Gotobi-Day Sell Logic
This logic targets potential reversals after the Tokyo fixing.
A checkpoint is used after the trade has been open for a certain period of time.
Position management changes depending on whether the trade is in profit or loss, allowing the EA to respond to the time-based characteristics that can appear after the fixing.
【3】Non-Gotobi Logic
USDJPY time-based behavior is not limited to Gotobi days.
Distinct price behavior can also appear during specific periods on ordinary trading days.
Tokyo Sniper Shin does not select these periods simply because they produced attractive backtest results.
The key question is:
“Can this time window be explained by an underlying real-demand flow?”
Time periods with weaker justification are removed, with trade quality prioritized over trade frequency.
【4】Integrated Stabilizer
The three primary logics are not simply run independently at all times.
They are integrated with consideration for market conditions and volatility.
The objective is to reduce excessive dependence on any single logic and improve the overall balance of the EA.
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🧠 THREE CORE DESIGN PRINCIPLES
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【1】Focus on Time
Tokyo Sniper is not designed around stacking large numbers of complicated chart patterns.
The main focus is:
“At what time are specific market participants more likely to create meaningful flows?”
【2】Every Condition Needs a Reason
Selecting conditions only because they performed well in a backtest can increase the risk of overfitting.
Tokyo Sniper therefore places importance on:
“Why should this condition have a reason to work?”
【3】Quality Over Quantity
The objective is not to maximize the number of trades.
Weak setups are filtered out.
The EA is designed to:
“Wait until the required conditions are present.”
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🏆 22 CONSECUTIVE PROFITABLE YEARS
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In the main backtest:
2004 – 2025
all 22 calendar years finished with a positive annual result.
This period includes very different market environments:
• 2008 Global Financial Crisis
• 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and FX intervention
• 2013 Abenomics
• 2016 Brexit
• 2020 COVID-19 market shock
• 2022 onward: rapid JPY depreciation and major monetary-policy changes
The system was tested across multiple market regimes, not just a small number of favorable years.
※The 22 consecutive profitable years refer to historical backtest results
※Future annual profitability is not guaranteed
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🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT
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Tokyo Sniper Shin does not use a recovery approach that adds more positions as losses increase.
✅ No Martingale
✅ No Grid
✅ No Averaging Down
✅ Stop-loss management
✅ Take-profit management
✅ Position sizing based on the selected risk percentage
Risk management is a core part of the system design.
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⏱ TRADING FREQUENCY
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Tokyo Sniper Shin is a long-term, low-frequency EA.
It is not designed to trade every day.
Some weeks may contain several trades, while other periods may have very few or no entries.
The priority is:
“Trading” less than
“Waiting for the right conditions.”
If you are looking for an EA that opens many positions every day, Tokyo Sniper may not match your preferred trading style.
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💰 RISK SETTINGS
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【1% Risk】
Main backtest setting
Initial Deposit: $1,000
Risk: 1%
Money Management: Non-compounding
Maximum Drawdown Amount: $138.80
Equivalent to 13.88% of the initial $1,000 deposit
MT4 Relative Drawdown: 5.52%
※The 5.52% figure is not calculated against the initial deposit. It is MT4’s relative drawdown figure based on the balance/equity peak and subsequent decline during the backtest.
【3% Risk】
Monthly and yearly backtest results using 3% risk are provided as reference data.
The primary benchmark remains the 1% risk test.
Higher risk can increase both returns and losses, as well as drawdown.
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💻 OPERATING REQUIREMENTS
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📌 Platform: MetaTrader 4
📌 Symbol: USDJPY only
📌 Timeframe: M1
📌 Account Type: Hedging account
📌 Recommended Spread: 1.5 pips or lower
📌 VPS: Strongly recommended
📌 Recommended Minimum Lot Size: 0.01 lot
Tokyo Sniper Shin is designed specifically for USDJPY.
Do not use it on other currency pairs.
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🏦 BROKER ENVIRONMENT
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An MT4 broker with stable USDJPY spreads and execution is recommended.
Factors that can affect live performance include:
• Spread
• Slippage
• Execution speed
• VPS-to-broker-server latency
• Leverage
• Margin requirements
• Broker price feed
Live trading conditions will not be identical to historical backtest conditions.
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📊 BACKTEST DETAILS
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Symbol: USDJPY
Timeframe: M1
Test Period: 2004.01.01 – 2026.07.31
Modeling Method: Every Tick
Modeling Quality: 99.90%
Mismatched Charts Errors: 0
Spread: Variable
Account Currency: USD
Initial Deposit: $1,000.00
Risk Setting: 1%
Money Management: Non-compounding
【Results】
Net Profit: +$5,818.30
Final Balance: $6,818.30
Gross Profit: $11,837.00
Gross Loss: -$6,018.70
Profit Factor: 1.97
Expected Payoff: $1.17
Absolute Drawdown: $21.91
Maximum Drawdown: $138.80
MT4 Relative Drawdown: 5.52% ($138.80)
Maximum Drawdown Amount vs. Initial Deposit: 13.88%
Total Trades: 4,961
Winning Trades: 3,091 (62.31%)
Losing Trades: 1,870 (37.69%)
2004–2025: 22 / 22 profitable calendar years
※MT4 Relative Drawdown of 5.52% is not calculated against the initial deposit
※Backtest results do not guarantee live-trading performance
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✅ RECOMMENDED USE
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【Recommended】
✅ Use only on USDJPY M1
✅ Run on a stable VPS
✅ Start with a conservative risk level
✅ Use the default parameters as the baseline
✅ Evaluate over the medium to long term
✅ Contact support if anything is unclear
【Not Recommended】
❌ Using the EA on currency pairs other than USDJPY
❌ Using a timeframe other than the specified M1 chart
❌ Changing entry times without understanding the logic
❌ Changing TP / SL settings without understanding the logic
❌ Judging performance from only a short period
❌ Using a risk level beyond your personal tolerance
Changes to the main trading parameters are not recommended unless you fully understand the logic behind them.
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💬 SUPPORT AFTER PURCHASE
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If you have any questions regarding setup after purchase, please contact us through MQL5 private messages.
Support includes:
✅ EA setup
✅ VPS environment
✅ Broker environment
✅ Risk settings
✅ Parameter checks
✅ Technical questions related to the EA
Supported Languages:
Japanese / English
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👨💻 DEVELOPMENT TEAM
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HAKASE & KEISUKE
Tokyo Sniper was developed through long-term research into real-demand flows and time-based characteristics in the Japanese USDJPY market.
For Shin, the team did not simply add new parameters.
Each logic was re-evaluated using data and experience gained from operating and testing the Classic version.
Future updates will be made when there is a clear market-structure rationale and reproducible evidence to support the change.
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🔄 UPDATES & MAINTENANCE
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✅ Bug fixes
✅ Compatibility updates for MT4 environment changes
✅ Logic maintenance when necessary
✅ Updates for existing users
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⚠️ IMPORTANT INFORMATION
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Tokyo Sniper Shin is not designed to generate aggressive short-term returns.
Although the long-term backtest shows positive annual results, the path includes:
• Losing months
• Losing streaks
• Drawdowns
• Periods of stagnation
Performance should be evaluated over the medium to long term rather than over only a few weeks or one to two months.
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⚖️ RISK DISCLAIMER
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• Past performance does not guarantee future results
• Backtest results do not guarantee live-trading results
• Actual performance may differ due to market conditions, spread, slippage, execution quality, and other factors
• Increasing the risk setting increases not only potential returns, but also potential losses and drawdowns
• Only trade with capital and risk levels you can afford to tolerate
• This EA and its product description do not guarantee any specific profit or investment result
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TOKYO SNIPER SHIN
Built around real-demand USDJPY flows and time-based market behavior, with a focus on:
“Long-term operation”
“Low-frequency trading”
“Risk management”
A fully automated EA designed specifically for USDJPY on MetaTrader 4.
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