📊 Dec 16, 2025 | Major FX, Gold & BTC – Technical Overview
Legend
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🟩 Buy / Strong Buy
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🟥 Sell / Strong Sell
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⚪️ Neutral
💱 Multi-Timeframe Summary (Key Points)
🔹 USD Pairs (Dollar Majors)
| Pair | Short-term (5–15m) | 1H | Daily | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🚀 Trend intact |
| GBP/USD | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🚀 Trend intact |
| AUD/USD | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🔄 Pullback forming |
Takeaway: EUR and GBP are in full, all-timeframe uptrends. AUD/USD is correcting short-term—wait for a dip.
🔹 USD/JPY & USD Crosses
| Pair | Short-term | Daily | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Sell | 📉 Downtrend |
| USD/CAD | 🟩 Short-term Buy | 🟥 Strong Sell | ⚠️ Sell rallies |
| USD/CHF | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟥 Strong Sell | 📉 Clear downtrend |
| USD/NZD | 🟥 Sell | 🟥 Sell | 📉 Ongoing weakness |
Takeaway: The USD remains structurally weak. Short-term bounces are opportunities to sell—USD/JPY included.
🔹 JPY Crosses (Key Zone)
| Pair | Short-term | Daily | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | 🟥 → ⚪️ | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⭐ Buy dips |
| GBP/JPY | 🟩 Strong Buy | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⭐ Core long |
| AUD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Buy | ⭐ Buy dips |
| CAD/JPY | 🟥 Strong Sell | 🟩 Strong Buy | ⭐ Buy dips |
| CHF/JPY | 🟩 Short-term Buy | 🟩 Buy | ⭐ Trend |
Takeaway: Short-term shakeouts persist, but the daily trend remains JPY-weak. Short-term sell signals are entries, not shorts.
🔹 Gold & BTC
| Asset | Assessment |
|---|---|
| XAU/USD (Gold) | 🟩 Strong Buy on daily / short-term consolidation |
| BTC/USD | 🟩 Short-term bounce → 🟥 Strong Sell on daily |
Takeaway: Gold remains the strongest medium/long-term theme despite short-term consolidation. BTC’s bounce is corrective; daily trend stays bearish.
🧭 Market Structure (Very Important)
🔻 USD
🔻 JPY (short-term unstable)
🔺 EUR & GBP
🔺 Gold
= “USD weakness × European FX leadership × Real assets” environment
🎯 Actionable Strategy
🟩 Priority Longs (Trend-following)
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EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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GBP/JPY
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EUR/JPY & CAD/JPY (buy dips only)
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XAU/USD (after short-term pullbacks)
🟥 Sell-the-Rally Candidates
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USD/JPY
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USD/CAD
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USD/CHF
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USD/NZD
⚠️ Notes
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JPY crosses show short-term sell vs. daily buy divergence—don’t short on short-term signals alone.
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AUD/USD: wait for 15m–1H selling pressure to fade before entering.
📝 One-liner (for weekly note / headline)
“EUR and GBP lead. Sell USD rallies. Buy JPY-cross dips.”
