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Forecast for Q3'16 - levels for Hang Seng Index (HSI)
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.05 14:36
Hang Seng Index (HSI) Pivot Points Analysis - bullish weekly reversal
W1 price is on bear market rally to the bullish reversal: the price is breaking Central Yearly Pivot at 23,408.
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.06 16:40
Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CNH: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI2016-09-06 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.
"The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., CFPM, chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The NMI®
registered 51.4 percent in August, 4.1 percentage points lower than the
July reading of 55.5 percent. This represents continued growth in the
non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing
Business Activity Index decreased substantially to 51.8 percent, 7.5
percentage points lower than the July reading of 59.3 percent,
reflecting growth for the 85th consecutive month, at a notably slower
rate in August. The New Orders Index registered 51.4 percent, 8.9
percentage points lower than the reading of 60.3 percent in July. The
Employment Index decreased 0.7 percentage point in August to 50.7
percent from the July reading of 51.4 percent. The Prices Index
decreased 0.1 percentage point from the July reading of 51.9 percent to
51.8 percent, indicating prices increased in August for the fifth
consecutive month. According to the NMI®, 11 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in August."
EUR/USD M5: 85 pips price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news event
AUD/USD M5: 52 pips price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news event
USD/CNH M5: 122 pips price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.07 15:15
S&P 500 Unshortable ? (based on the article)
500 increased by 0.45% for the month, 0.08% for a week, and it was
decreased by 0.06% for the day. H4 intra-day price broke 100-day
SMA/200-day SMA levels for the bullish market condition. The price is on
testing with 2,185.75 resistance level for the bullish trend to be
continuing. Alternative, if the price breaks 2,172.75 support ot below
so the bearish trend will be resumed.
S&P 500 daily is on primary
bullish market condition located above 100 SMA/200 SMA reversal area for
the ranging within the narrow support/resistance levels:
The most likely scenarioo for the movement for September is the following: daily price will be on ranging within 2,191/2,154.
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.08 08:47
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Trade Balance and 37 pips price movement
2016-09-08 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Trade Balance]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month.
AUD/USD M5: 37 pips price movement by Australian Trade Balance news event
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.08 14:02
EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Minimum Bid Rate and 30 pips range price movement
2016-09-08 11:45 GMT | [EUR - Minimum Bid Rate]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)
[EUR - Minimum Bid Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.
At today’s meeting the Governing Council of the ECB decided that the
interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates
on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain
unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.40% respectively. The Governing Council
continues to expect the key ECB interest rates to remain at present or
lower levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon
of the net asset purchases.
Regarding non-standard monetary policy measures, the Governing
Council confirms that the monthly asset purchases of €80 billion are
intended to run until the end of March 2017, or beyond, if necessary,
and in any case until it sees a sustained adjustment in the path of
inflation consistent with its inflation aim.
EUR/USD M5: 30 pips range price movement by ECB Minimum Bid Rate news event
Forecast for Q3'16 - levels for GOLD (XAU/USD)
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.09 08:18
GOLD: End Of Week Technicals - ranging market condition waiting for the direction of the trend
trading week ended with some interesting results for this pair
(XAU/USD) - the intra-day price was started with the bullish breakout
and ending with the ranging bullish, and daily price was on breakout
with the bullish reversal but ended this week with the ranging market
condition to be inside Ichimoku cloud waiting for the direction of the
is located inside Ichimoku cloud for the ranging market condition within the following support/resistance levels:
Absolute Strength indicator is estimating the daily bullish trend in the near future.
is on ranging condition within the primary bullish trend: the price is
located above Ichimoku cloud for the ranging within narrow s/r levels.
If not so
the price will be on the ranging within the levels.
SUMMARY : bullish
USDCAD Technical Analysis 2016, 11.09 - 18.09: possible bullish reversal on ranging way
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.10 11:03
Daily price is on secondary rally within the primary bullish
market condition: price broke one of Senkou Span line B of Ichimoku
indicator to above for the ranging rally to be located inside Ichimoku
SUMMARY : bear market rally
AUDUSD Technical Analysis 2016, 11.09 - 18.09: bullish ranging breakdown
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.10 14:39
Daily price is on breakdown which was started on Friday on
close daily bar: the price is testing upper border of Ichimoku cloud to
below for the bullish breakdown to be continuing with the secondary
ranging way and with 0.7485 bearish reversal target. Chinkou Span line of Ichimoku indicator is estimating the breakdown to be continuing, and Absolute Strength indicator is evaluating the trend as a ranging correction within the primary bullish market condition.
EURUSD Technical Analysis 2016, 11.09 - 18.09: ranging above Ichimoku cloud
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.11 09:41
Daily price is on ranging market condition located above Ichimoku cloud in the bullish area of the chart within the following support/resistance levels:
Absolute Strength indicator is estimating the bullish trend to be resumed, and Trend Strength indicator is evaluating the future possible trend as a secondary ranging.
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.13 12:57
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Rejected at 0.77 Figure (based on the article)
price is on bearish condition located below 100 SMA/200 SMA: price was
bounced from 0.7731 resistance level to below for the breakdown with the
bearish reversal. Fow now, the price is on bearish ranging within
narrow support/resistance levels: 0.7567 resistance and 0.7493 support.
If H4 price breaks 0.7567 resistance level to above on close bar so the local uptrend as the bear market rally will be started.If H4 price breaks 0.7493 support level to below so the primary bearish trend will be resumed.If not so the price will be on bearish ranging within the levels.
SUMMARY : bearish