
From Tokyo with Tech: Daily AI Scalping Signals for Profitable Trades (Thursday, April 17, 2025)

📊Today Forex Outlook - Updated for "Thursday, April 17, 2025💹"
Hello traders around the world, greetings from Tokyo—AI Trader KYO here.
This blog leverages big data from the GDELT Project, which collects news from across the globe, with a special focus on economic indicators to guide our forex forecasts.
Yesterday’s U.S. retail‑sales beat set the tone: a textbook 25‑pip pop in USD/JPY rewarded the pre‑release long. Staying in North America, a steadied hand from the Bank of Canada drove CAD strength and another tidy 20‑pip gain for our short USD/CAD. Not every play landed—Powell’s caution on tariffs clipped a 10‑pip loss in EUR/USD, and mixed Australian jobs data weighed on AUD/USD for –15 pips—but tight stops kept the day’s net at +20 pips. The results reinforce our edge in high‑impact data while reminding us that forward‑guidance events still demand disciplined risk control. Overall, the strategy closed the session 2‑for‑2 on first‑tier releases and continues to post a healthy cumulative win rate.
Trading Results – "Wednesday, April 16, 2025"
Let's review the trading outcomes based on yesterday’s economic indicator releases along with the cumulative results by star rating for the day.
Trade Results by Indicator
- US Retail Sales (March) – USD/JPY
• Actual: +1.4 % m/m vs +1.3 % forecast
• USD/JPY Movement: Approximately +25 pips rise (142.00 → 142.25)
• Strategy: Entered long 5 minutes before the release, closed 5 seconds after
• Result: Win – ★★★★☆ (+25 pips) - Bank of Canada Rate Decision – USD/CAD
• Actual: Policy rate held at 2.75 % (in line with expectations)
• USD/CAD Movement: Approximately −20 pips drop (1.3915 → 1.3895)
• Strategy: Entered short 5 minutes before the release, closed 5 seconds after
• Result: Win – ★★★☆☆ (+20 pips) - Fed Chair Powell Speech – EUR/USD
• Actual: Hawkish tone; concerns that tariffs could lift inflation
• EUR/USD Movement: Approximately −10 pips decline (1.1380 → 1.1370)
• Strategy: Entered long 5 minutes before the speech, closed 5 seconds after
• Result: Loss – ★★☆☆☆ (−10 pips) - Australia Employment (March) – AUD/USD
• Actual: Employment +32 K (forecast +40 K); Unemployment 4.1 % (forecast 4.2 %)
• AUD/USD Movement: Approximately −15 pips drop (0.6370 → 0.6355)
• Strategy: Entered long 5 minutes before the release, closed 5 seconds after
• Result: Loss – ★★☆☆☆ (−15 pips)
Cumulative Trading Results
Forecast Accuracy | Wins/Losses | Win Rate | Total Pips |
---|---|---|---|
★★★★★ | 1 wins / 0 losses | 100% | +30 pips |
★★★★☆ | 29 wins / 0 losses | 100% | +463 pips |
★★★☆☆ | 19 wins / 3 losses | 86% | +227 pips |
★★☆☆☆ | 7 wins / 8 losses | 47% | -65 pips |
★☆☆☆☆ | 1 wins / 3 losses | 25% | -3 pips |
Key Economic Indicators & Forecasts
Today's Economic Indicators (Date/Time) | Target Currency Pairs | Forecast & Strategy | Confidence (★ Rating) |
---|---|---|---|
April 17 (Thursday) 8:15 AM ET ECB Monetary Policy Decision | EUR/USD | Expected 25 bp rate cut should pressure the euro. Sell EUR/USD 5 minutes before the announcement. | ★★★★☆ |
April 17 (Thursday) 8:30 AM ET US Initial Jobless Claims | USD/JPY | Slight rise in claims could signal labor‑market softening. Sell USD/JPY 5 minutes before the release. | ★★★☆☆ |
April 17 (Thursday) 8:30 AM ET Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | USD/JPY | Sharp drop in the index may weigh on the dollar. Sell USD/JPY 5 minutes before the release. | ★★★☆☆ |
April 17 (Thursday) 8:30 AM ET US Housing Starts | USD/JPY | Forecast decline reinforces slowdown narrative. Sell USD/JPY 5 minutes before the release. | ★★☆☆☆ |
April 17 (Thursday) 8:30 AM ET US Building Permits | USD/JPY | Overlapped by other data; limited edge. No Trade. | ★★☆☆☆ |
April 17 (Thursday) 8:30 AM ET Canada Foreign Securities Purchases | USD/CAD | Stronger inflows support CAD. Sell USD/CAD 5 minutes before the release. | ★★☆☆☆ |
April 17 (Thursday) 7:30 PM ET Japan National CPI (March) | USD/JPY | Core CPI seen accelerating; yen may strengthen. Sell USD/JPY 5 minutes before the release. | ★★★☆☆ |
Additional Notes
• The “Forecast & Strategy” column provides a simplified directional view (e.g., “Long (Buy)” or “Short (Sell)”) based on prior data and market consensus.
• The star rating is a rough indicator of potential market impact and does not guarantee price movement.
• Always consider spreads, volatility, and unexpected news events. Trade responsibly at your own risk.
f you have any requests or want to know more about cryptocurrency outlooks (or anything else), feel free to let me know in the comments!
Thank you for reading and good luck with your trades!
"If you found this article helpful, feel free to like it and subscribe for more updates!"
🚀 Exciting News for Traders!
I've just launched a brand-new MQL channel:
🌟 SamurAI Economic Strike 🌟
This channel provides precise forex trading forecasts and market insights, powered by cutting-edge AI analytics.
Sharpen your trading skills and stay ahead of the market with daily updates and powerful strategies!
Join now and become part of our trading community 👇
🔗 SamurAI Economic Strike channel
↑↑↑ Subscribe here for more insights ↑↑↑
Japan AI Exo Scalp EA – An Innovative Solution for Implementing Trading Strategies
Japan AI Exo Scalp EA runs a six-step AI analysis process every time a new bar is confirmed on the chart.
[Bar Update]: Once a new bar is confirmed, automatic analysis begins.
[Technical Analysis]: Quantifies market conditions using trend, volatility, RSI, etc.
[Data Sent to ChatGPT]: The collected market data is sent to the latest GPT model (e.g., GPT-4.5, GPT-4 Turbo) to obtain optimal signals.
[GPT Trade Decision]: The AI returns instructions such as “buy,” “sell,” or “hold.”
[EA Signal Filtering]: Strictly checks safe trading conditions based on spread, RSI, and time of day.
[Trade Execution]: Executes entries with confidence once conditions are met.
Rather than aiming for ultra-fast scalping, it focuses on precise analysis and solid risk management to achieve stable entries in major currency pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, etc.).
(Note: The figures and forecasts above are hypothetical; please consult the latest real data and forecasts from relevant institutions.)
Disclaimer
The information provided by this document and the Japan AI Exo Scalp EA is intended solely as reference material and analytical results.
All markets carry inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Please make your own investment decisions under thorough risk management and capital control.