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BoE Monetary Policy Guidance: Summer Rate Cuts Coming - RBS Research Team at RBS, notes that the Bank Of England Governor, Mark Carney, has given a clear indication that the BoE will cut policy rates over the next few months and is primed to sanction additional easing measures: ‘The economic outl...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 1 July 2016, 06:46
This is the private survey manufacturing PMI. It's a different survey, different firms surveyed than in the official survey we got earlier. Tending to be smaller firms than those in the official survey. Caixin Manufacturing PMI 48.6 expected 49.2, prior 49...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:58
The big risk is a bunch of politicians will win I guess. OK ... lets get on with it. Expectations are that the current government will win the election. But its not as if it'll be a landslide and the Opposition is in with a chance...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:57
The Bank of Japan wants to hear your problems! Bloomberg report on enhanced communication activities at the bank: The BOJ has added its own surveys of investors and primary dealers since last year, on top of separate Ministry of Finance panel discussions with traders and economists...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:55
The Bank of Japan's Tankan Survey. Its a survey of manufacturing and service companies designed to assess business conditions in Japan. The BOJ Tankan is conducted quarterly...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:54
Japanese inflation data, National for May and Tokyo for June National CPI -0.4% y/y, expected is -0.5%, prior was -0.3% National CPI y/y excluding Fresh Food, -0.4% expected is -0.4%, prior was -0.3...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:53
US energy secretary says agreed with Saudi energy minister that oil market still has more supply than demand (US energy secretary speaks after meeting with Saudi energy minister in Beijing) Says: Saudi energy minister sees oil market in balance towards the end of 2016 He expects oil market to be...
Crude Oil
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:52 #crude oil
Australian Industry Group (AiG) Performance of Manufacturing Index for June comes in at 51.8 prior 51...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 1 July 2016, 05:51
Dovish BOE talk adds to gains The S&P 500 is up 22 points to 2092 after briefly trading in negative territory at the start of the day. The idea isn't that global growth will be any better. It's that central banks will never hike rates and will do whatever it takes to achieve 1-2% growth...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 19:30
GBP/USD dropped more than a hundred pips during the last hour as the pound tumbled across the board after comments from Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England (BoE...
Market News
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Mirza Baig, 30 June 2016, 19:10
Apparently on social media Michael Steen the ECB press officer has apparently scotched the story. The euro's bounced but you know the saying, nothings official until it's been officially denied...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 18:37 #ECB
GBPUSD to 1.3245 from 1.3425. EURGBP 0.8380 from 0.8275 He's waffling on now about the possible effects of Brexit on the economy and the BOE's role in getting through it. The seed is sown though. They'll talk in July and maybe act in August...
Currency
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 17:32
Theresa May is the prohibitive favourite to be the next Prime Minister Even before Boris Johnson dropped out, Theresa May was the betting favourite. A poll put Johnson as the only person within striking distance. Now betting sites put her as a relative shoe-in...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 17:27
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Rise From Nearly Two-Month Low Reflecting a rebound from a nearly two-month low, the Labor Department released a report on Thursday showing that first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits rose by a little more than expected in the week ended June 25th...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 30 June 2016, 16:09
Another survey from Reuters June output up 250kbpd Output led by Nigeria, Iran, Saudi Arabia and UAE Higher output held back by lower production in Iraq and Venezuela The rally this year looks like it's taking a pause as we knock around between 46 & 51...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 15:42
Canadian monthly GDP Prior was -0.2% Goods -0.1% Services +0.2% Canada is one of the few countries to report on GDP every month. This is the first gain after two straight months of declines...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 14:48
US initial jobless claims week ending 24 June 2016 Prior 259k. Revised to 258k Continued claims 2.120m vs 2.150m exp. Prior 2.142m. Revised to 2.140m 4 week average 266.75k vs 267.00k prior. Revised to 266.75k As near as straight down the line as you can get it...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 14:46
Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. Respondents are surveyed for their view of the economy and business conditions in China...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 14:43
Australia goes to the polls about a week after Brexit. This could shape the direction of the Aussie while the world is not looking...
Currency
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 14:37
Boris speaking but he hasn't actually declared he's in the running. He's making a big speech which sounds like he might go either way. The way he's speaking he sounds like he's not going to enter. I'm a tax cutting conservative but wants a fairer capitalism You live longer under conservatives...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 30 June 2016, 13:32