📊 Technical Analysis — March 18, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis — March 18, 2026

19 3月 2026, 11:09
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis — March 18, 2026

■ Market Condition

👉 Full risk-off has resumed (strong)


🔥 Situation Summary
  • Equities: Broad-based collapse-level selling

  • Yen crosses: Sharp decline across the board

  • Precious metals: Continued strong selling

  • BTC: Fully breaking down

  • USD: Strong again


🧠 Macro Structure

Equities ↓↓↓ Risk-Off JPY buying Yen crosses collapse


📉 Equity Markets
Index Status
Dow Jones 🔴 Strong Sell
S&P 500 🔴 Strong Sell
NASDAQ 🔴 Strong Sell
European Equities 🔴 Strong Sell
Nikkei 🔴 Strong Sell

👉 Clear risk-off dominance


💱 FX (Key Focus)

✔ EUR/USD

  • Short-term: Short covering

  • Daily: Strong Sell

👉 Sell-the-rally confirmed market


✔ GBP/USD

👉 Same structure: Sell rallies


✔ USD/JPY

  • Short-term: Sell

  • Daily: Buy

👉 Corrective pullback (JPY strength dominating short-term)


💴 Yen Crosses (Main Battlefield)

This is the most important area 👇

Pair Status
EUR/JPY Strong Sell
GBP/JPY Strong Sell
CHF/JPY 🔥 Strongest Sell
NZD/JPY 🔥 Cleanest Sell

👉 Yen cross shorts are the primary opportunity


🥇 Precious Metals
Asset Status
GOLD 🔴 Strong Sell
SILVER 🔴 Strong Sell

👉 Not acting as safe havens (important signal)


🛢 Oil
  • Daily: Strong Buy

  • Short-term: Sell

👉 Pullback at high levels


🪙 BTC

👉 Sell across all timeframes

Full risk asset breakdown


🌍 Currency Strength

Strong

1️⃣ USD
2️⃣ JPY
3️⃣ CHF

Weak

1️⃣ NZD
2️⃣ EUR
3️⃣ GBP


📊 Best Short Opportunities

1️⃣ CHF/JPY 🔥 strongest trend
2️⃣ NZD/JPY 🔥 cleanest setup
3️⃣ S&P 500 / NASDAQ
4️⃣ EUR/USD (sell rallies)
5️⃣ GOLD


📈 Best Long Opportunities

(Very limited)

1️⃣ USD/CHF
2️⃣ USD/JPY (buy dips)
3️⃣ Natural Gas (short-term)


🎯 Trading Strategy (Very Important)

✔ Main

👉 Short Yen Crosses (Primary focus)


✔ Secondary

👉 Short Equity Indices


✔ Supplemental

👉 Sell EUR/USD on rallies


⚠️ Key Warning

This market is:

👉 “No safe haven risk-off”

  • Equities ↓

  • BTC ↓

  • Gold ↓

This indicates:

👉 Strong liquidity withdrawal across all asset classes


📌 One-Line Summary

👉 “Broad market breakdown = Yen cross short market.”