📊 FX Option Expiries — March 18, 2026

📊 FX Option Expiries — March 18, 2026

18 3月 2026, 11:01
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 FX Option Expiries — March 18, 2026

■ Spot Levels
Pair Spot
EUR/USD 1.1540
USD/JPY 158.74
GBP/USD 1.3364
USD/CHF 0.7851
USD/CAD 1.3697
AUD/USD 0.7115
NZD/USD 0.5863
EUR/GBP 0.8634

■ Wednesday (March 18)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1375 (570M)

  • 1.1400 (830M)

  • 1.1450 (1.2B)

  • 1.1500 (830M)

  • 1.1575 (780M)

  • 1.1600 (770M)

  • 1.1640 (540M)

  • 1.1650 (1.7B) ★ Largest

  • 1.1700 (530M)

👉 Spot 1.1540

  • 1.1500 = center of range

  • 1.1650 = strongest upside magnet


USD/JPY

  • 157.00 (960M)

  • 157.10 (570M)

  • 157.50 (760M)

  • 158.50 (820M)

  • 159.00 (1.0B)

  • 159.50 (1.1B) ★ Largest

  • 160.00 (510M)

  • 160.50 (890M)

👉 Strong cluster at 159.00–159.50

  • Price likely to be pulled toward upper range


GBP/USD

  • 1.3200 (580M)

  • 1.3300 (2.7B) ★ Largest

  • 1.3400 (660M)

👉 1.33 = central pin level


USD/CAD

  • 1.3675 (540M)


AUD/USD

  • 0.6950 (1.2B) ★ Largest

  • 0.7050 (820M)

  • 0.7100 (850M)

  • 0.7150 (560M)

  • 0.7200 (550M)

👉 0.7050–0.7100 = core range zone


EUR/GBP

  • 0.8600 (540M)


■ Thursday (March 19)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1425 (690M)

  • 1.1450 (780M)

  • 1.1500 (1.7B) ★ Largest

  • 1.1530 (920M)

  • 1.1550 (800M)

  • 1.1560 (570M)

  • 1.1575 (540M)

  • 1.1580 (880M)

  • 1.1590 (1.2B)

  • 1.1650 (550M)

  • 1.1700 (550M)

👉 1.1500–1.1590 = extremely dense pin zone


USD/JPY

  • 159.00 (800M)

👉 Continued fixation pressure around 159


GBP/USD

  • 1.3200 (680M)

  • 1.3350 (850M)

  • 1.3400 (520M)


AUD/USD

  • 0.6950 (2.0B) ★ Largest

  • 0.7125 (500M)

👉 0.6950 = massive downside defense


NZD/USD

  • 0.5940 (850M)


■ Overall Structure

EUR/USD
→ Ultra-dense pin structure centered at 1.1500

USD/JPY
159 fixation zone

GBP/USD
→ Centered around 1.33

AUD/USD
0.6950 strong support + 0.71 range


■ Market Implication

This is clearly a:

👉 “Fully option-dominated market (trend-killing environment)”

Key characteristics:

  • Breakouts are likely to be false moves

  • Price tends to revert back toward strike levels

  • Strong magnetic pull toward key option zones


🎯 Trading Insight

Preferred approach:

👉 Fade moves, don’t chase them

  • Wait for extensions

  • Trade reversions back toward key levels

  • Focus on option magnets


📌 One-line takeaway

“Option-controlled market — mean reversion > breakout trading.”