📊 Technical Analysis — February 25, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis — February 25, 2026

25 2月 2026, 10:52
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis — February 25, 2026

🧭 Market Structure

“A full-fledged JPY-weak trend market. Cross-yen pairs are the main drivers.”

✔ USD/JPY: Strong Buy across all timeframes
✔ Cross-yen pairs: Strong Buy across the board
✔ Gold: Higher-timeframe uptrend intact
✔ BTC: Still weak

The current environment is clearly broad-based yen weakness.

💴 Yen Market (Primary Driver)

🔥 USD/JPY (156.70)

All timeframes: Strong Buy

👉 Fully developed trend structure.
This is a buy-the-dip environment.


🔥 Cross-Yen Pairs (Broad Strength)

  • EUR/JPY

  • GBP/JPY

  • AUD/JPY

  • NZD/JPY

  • CAD/JPY

  • CHF/JPY

👉 All showing Strong Buy signals across timeframes.

This is a textbook yen-led risk-on rally.


💱 Dollar Majors

🔻 EUR/USD (1.1782)

Short-term: Strong Sell
Daily: Neutral

👉 USD strength dominant.


🔻 GBP/USD (1.3510)

Short-term: Strong Sell
Daily: Strong Sell

👉 Pound remains structurally weak.


⚖ AUD/USD (0.7086)

Short-term: Sell
Daily: Strong Buy

👉 In a corrective phase within a broader bullish structure.


🥇 Gold (5,171)

Short-term: Corrective pullback
Intraday–Daily: Strong Buy

👉 Uptrend intact.
Currently forming a pullback zone.


🥈 Silver (90.54)

Intraday–Daily: Strong Buy

👉 Even stronger momentum than gold.


🧊 BTC (65,437)

Daily: Strong Sell
Short-term: Unstable

👉 Still structurally weak.


🌍 Relative Strength Ranking

🔺 Strongest

  1. JPY Crosses

  2. USD/JPY

  3. Silver

🔻 Weakest

  1. BTC

  2. GBP


🎯 Strategic Positioning

🟢 Top Long Priorities

  • USD/JPY

  • AUD/JPY

  • EUR/JPY

  • CAD/JPY

🟡 Buy-on-Dip

  • XAU/USD

🔴 Weak Structures

  • GBP/USD

  • BTC/USD


📝 One-Line Summary

“Broad-based yen selling. Cross-yen pairs dominate.”

At present, JPY-weak trend-following remains the clearest and most straightforward strategy.