📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary – July 29, 2025

📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary – July 29, 2025

30 7月 2025, 11:37
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Strategy Summary – July 29, 2025

🏦 Major Currency Pairs

EUR/USD (1.1532)
Clear downtrend across all timeframes
Strategy: Sell on rally. Watch for failure around 1.1560–1.1580 to re-enter shorts.
🔻 Target: Break below 1.1500


USD/JPY (148.21)
Uptrend intact, but short-term momentum slowing
Strategy: Hold long above 148.00. Consider buying dips near 147.80.
🎯 Target: Retest and break 148.50


GBP/USD (1.3362)
Short-term bearish, neutral on higher timeframes
Strategy: Look for selling opportunity if capped at 1.3380.
🔻 Target: Break below 1.3300


AUD/USD (0.6490)
Consistent bearish pressure across timeframes
Strategy: Continue selling rallies. Resistance at 0.6500–0.6520
🔻 Target: New lows if capped


USD/CAD (1.3787)
Bullish bias, upside potential remains
Strategy: Buy dips above 1.3740, breakout above 1.3800 opens path to 1.3850


💱 Crosses & Other Assets

EUR/JPY (170.91)
Short-term bearish, shifting to neutral on daily
Strategy: Sell rallies near 171.50, breakdown confirmation below 170.50


GBP/JPY (198.03)
Choppy intraday, bearish tilt emerging on daily
Strategy: Stay long only above 199.00; below 197.50 avoid longs


AUD/JPY (96.19) / NZD/JPY (88.16)
Weakened cross-yen, bearish momentum
Strategy: Sell rallies. Resistance: 96.50 (AUD/JPY), 88.50 (NZD/JPY)


CAD/JPY (107.50) / CHF/JPY (183.72)
Unstable in short-term, corrective tone
Strategy: CAD/JPY needs to reclaim 108.00 for confirmation; CHF/JPY tilted toward selling on rallies


XAU/USD (Gold: 3,328.76)
Lacks direction, leaning weak
Strategy: Resistance at 3,330, support battle around 3,310–3,315


BTC/USD (118,060)
Short-term bearish, bullish on daily
Strategy: Key support at 117,000; watch for rebound above 119,000 for renewed upside


🚀 Focus Strategies

🔼 Buy on Dips / Trend Continuation

  • USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF (USD strength continues)

  • BTC/USD (if 117,000 holds)


🔽 Sell on Rallies / Short-Term Bias

  • EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/USD (clear bearish signals)

  • EUR/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/CAD (cross-yen and commodity-linked pairs under pressure)


📌 Key Technical Levels

Asset Resistance Support / Watch
EUR/USD 1.1580 (sell zone) 1.1500 (break risk)
USD/JPY 148.50+ (bullish continuation) 147.80 (buy zone)
XAU/USD 3,330 (resistance) 3,310 (break alert)
BTC/USD 119,000 (bullish trigger) 117,000 (key support)