Market Condition Evaluation based on standard indicators in Metatrader 5 - page 61

Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev  

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USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.08

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usdchf zigzag'ing

USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.08, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.08 15:57

2013-08-08 12:30 GMT (or 14:30 MQ MT5 time) | [USD - Jobless Claims (Initial Claims)]

If actual < forecast = good for currency (for USD in our case)

==========

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Edge Up To 333,000, Below Estimate :

First-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits showed a modest increase in the week ended August 3rd, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Thursday, although claims still came in below economist estimates.

The report showed that initial jobless claims edged up to 333,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 328,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to climb to 336,000 from the 326,000 originally reported for the previous week.



Sergey Golubev
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114338
Sergey Golubev  

It was some low/medium impacted news events from Europe at 08:00 GMT (10:00 MQ MT5 time). But ... after that - we had some low impacted news from China - CNY New Loans by People's Bank of China (latest press release is here.

So, EURUSD price was started to move on right way at 08:00 based on European news, but some news from China at 08:05 ... the price started to thinking about (seems - translating) ... and decided to go back.

This is the proof :

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EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.09

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thinking ... go back

EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.09, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev  

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USDCAD, M5, 2013.08.09

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55 pips

USDCAD, M5, 2013.08.09, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.09 15:13

2013-08-09 12:30 GMT (or 14:30 MQ MT5 time) | [CAD - Employment Change]

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for CAD in our case)

==========

Led by declines among youths, employment decreased by 39,000 in July, and the unemployment rate rose 0.1 percentage points to 7.2%. With this decrease, employment gains have averaged 11,000 per month over the past six months, slower than the average of 27,000 observed during the preceding six-month period.


Sergey Golubev
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114338
Sergey Golubev  

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USDJPY, M5, 2013.08.12

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usdjpy gdp for 44 pips movement

USDJPY, M5, 2013.08.12, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.12 08:23

2013-08-11 23:50 GMT (or 2013-08-12 01:50 MQ MT5 time) | [JPY - Gross Domestic Product (GDP)]

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for JPY in our case)

==========

Japan GDP Slows To 0.6% On Quarter In Q2

Japan's gross domestic product added just 0.6 percent in the second quarter of 2013 compared to the previous three months, the Cabinet Office said in Monday's preliminary report.

The headline figure missed forecasts for an increase of 0.9 percent, which would have been unchanged from the first quarter.

On a yearly basis, GDP was up 2.6 percent - well shy of expectations for 3.6 percent following the 4.1 percent gain in Q1.


Sergey Golubev
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114338
Sergey Golubev  

2013-08-13 08:30 GMT (or 10:30 MQ MT5 time) | [GBP - Consumer Prices Index]

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for GBP in our case)

==========

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GBPUSD, M5, 2013.08.13

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GBP CPI

GBPUSD, M5, 2013.08.13, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


Sergey Golubev
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114338
Sergey Golubev  

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EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.13

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eurusd : retail sales moved the price up to 54 pips

EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.13, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.13 18:04

2013-08-13 12:30 GMT (or 14:30 MQ MT5 time) | [USD - Retail Sales]
  • past data is 0.6%
  • forecast data is 0.3%
  • actual data is 0.2% according to the latest press release

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for USD in our case)

==========

U.S. Retail Sales Show Continued Growth Despite Pullback In Auto Sales

Retail sales in the U.S. rose for the fourth consecutive month in July, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, although the sales growth was slightly weaker than expected due to a notable drop in auto sales.

The report said retail sales edged up by 0.2 percent in July following an upwardly revised 0.6 percent increase in June.

Economists had expected sales to rise by 0.3 percent compared to the 0.4 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.


Sergey Golubev
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114338
Sergey Golubev  

German IFO - Business Climate at 08:00 GMT (or 10:00 MQ MT5 time) with 94 pips movement for EURUSD and USDCHF

========

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newdigital, 2013.08.27 14:51

2013-08-27 08:00 GMT (or 10:00 MQ MT5 time| [EUR - German IFO - Business Climate]

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

==========

German Business Morale At 16-Month High :

Confidence among German businesses continued to improve, reaching a 16-month high in August, as companies are more satisfied with their current situation amid the economy moving up a gear.

The business confidence index improved more-than-expected to 107.5 in August, the highest since April 2012, from 106.2 in July, results of an Ifo Institute survey, based on 7,000 responses, showed Tuesday. Economists had forecast the index to rise to 107 in August.


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EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.27

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+53 pips for EURUSD

EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.27, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.27

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41 pips fpr USDCHF

USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.27, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo



Sergey Golubev
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114338
Sergey Golubev  

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USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.28

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USDCHF movement based on UBS Consumption Indicator news event

USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.28, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.28 08:32

2013-08-28 06:00 GMT (or 08:00 MQ MT5 time| [CHF - UBS Consumption Indicator]

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for CHF in our case)

==========

UBS consumption indicator: virtually no change in consumer sentiment :

The UBS consumption indicator remained virtually unchanged in July. An increase in new car registrations was balanced by gloomier consumer sentiment and a weaker retail sales.


Zurich/Basel, 28 August 2013 – The UBS consumption indicator remained virtually unchanged in July at 1.41 index points compared with the previous month (revised down from 1.44 to 1.41), continuing a trend that has been ongoing since April.

Swiss consumers registered significantly more new cars in July than in the previous month; new car registrations rose by 14.4% after figures are seasonally adjusted. Compared with the same month last year, the number of new car registrations was also up sharply, increasing by 5.3% to 26,333 new car registrations. Following a weak first six months which saw a considerable decline of 11.8%, the second half of 2013 began somewhat more positively for the automotive sector.


Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114338
Sergey Golubev  

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GBPUSD, M5, 2013.08.28

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BoE with 95 pips of the movement

GBPUSD, M5, 2013.08.28, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.28 16:55

2013-08-28 12:45 GMT (or 14:45 MQ MT5 time| [GBP - Mark Carney speaks at UK Parliament]

==========

BOE's Carney seeks to soothe views of higher rates :

U.K. interest rates aren't going to rise as soon as unemployment falls to 7%, Bank of England Gov. Mark Carney said in his first speech as head of the central bank. The central bank has said it doesn't expect the country's jobless rate to fall to that level until 2016, but financial markets are betting that rates could rise in 2015. "Thinking unemployment will come down faster than we expect isn't enough to believe interest rates will rise soon. As I said earlier, the 7% threshold is a staging post to assess the economy. Nobody should assume that it is a trigger for raising rates," he told business leaders in Nottingham. The central bank also will look at the strength of the economic recovery and inflation, he said. Carney reiterated that if growth is faltering, the central bank would look at ways to stimulate the economy. He also said the central bank will reduce the level of required liquid asset holdings for banks that have a capital base of 7% of their risk-weighted assets, which could eventually free up 90 billion pounds (about $140 billion) from the country's eight major banks and building societies. The pound rose against the dollar on Carney's speech.

Sergey Golubev
Moderator
114338
Sergey Golubev  

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EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.29

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eurusd +42 pips movement

EURUSD, M5, 2013.08.29, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.29

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USDCHF with +41 pips movement

USDCHF, M5, 2013.08.29, MetaQuotes Software Corp., MetaTrader 5, Demo


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newdigital, 2013.08.29 16:16

2013-08-29 12:30 GMT (or 14:30 MQ MT5 time| [USD - Gross Domestic Product (GDP)]

If actual > forecast = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

==========

U.S. Economy Grew Faster Than Initially Estimated In Q2 :

Reflecting revisions to imports and exports, the Commerce Department released a report on Thursday showing that the U.S. economy grew by more than previously estimated in the second quarter.

The report said GDP increased by 2.5 percent in the second quarter, reflecting an upward revision from the advance estimate of 1.7 percent growth.

Economists had been anticipating a somewhat more modest upward revision to the pace of GDP growth to about 2.2 percent.

The Commerce Department said the upward revision the pace of GDP growth primarily reflected an upward revision to exports and a downward revision to imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP.

The report said exports rose by 8.6 percent compared to the previously reported 5.4 percent growth, while imports increased by 7.0 percent versus the initially estimated 9.5 percent jump.