FxWirePro: AUD/USD Slips Below 0.77 Handle on Dismal CPI Data, Test of 0.7525 Likely

FxWirePro: AUD/USD Slips Below 0.77 Handle on Dismal CPI Data, Test of 0.7525 Likely

27 April 2016, 06:35
Roberto Jacobs
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FxWirePro: AUD/USD Slips Below 0.77 Handle on Dismal CPI Data, Test of 0.7525 Likely

  • AUD/USD dived around 100-pips in a knee-jerk reaction to dismal Australian CPI report. 
  • Data released earlier today showed Australia’s Q1 headline CPI figures came in at -0.2% q/q versus +0.2% expected and +0.4% previous.  
  • The trimmed mean CPI stood at +0.2% versus +0.5% expected and against +0.6% last. 
  • Poor inflation data raised chances of a rate cut at RBA May meet, chances for a rate cut by the RBA in May stand at 49% probability vs 16% before the CPI. 
  • The pair went crashing further below 0.77 handle, to hit session lows at 0.7638 and is currently trading at 0.7641. 
  • Downside bias could see test of 0.7525 (rising trendline) and then 0.75 levels. 
  • The pair finds immediate support at 0.7631 (April 18th lows), while resistance is seen at 0.7708 (5-DMA). 
  • Liquidity is likely to be low until the FOMC. USD remains on the back foot ahead of the meeting and weaker USD likely to provide broad support to commodity markets. 
  • Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-USD-struggles-at-077-handle-good-to-sell-rallies-199724) has hit all targets.


Recommendation: Book partial profits, lower stops to 0.77, target 0.7525/0.75 

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com



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