Oil approaches $62, as geopolitical concerns weigh

Oil approaches $62, as geopolitical concerns weigh

16 February 2015, 14:51
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Oil rose on Monday to approach $62 a barrel, as concerns over the escalating conflict with Islamic State militants in Libya spurred predictions for lower supply levels in the second half of the year.

On Monday Egypt's air force bombed Islamic State targets inside Libya. Cairo renewed calls for a U.S.-led coalition to confront militants there, a day after the group released a video appearing to show the beheading of 21 Egyptians.

As a result, Libya's oil production has mostly suspended, falling to 350,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 1.6 million bpd before the 2011 ousting of leader Muammar Gaddafi.

The El Sarir oil field was still unable to pump oil on Monday after a pipeline was attacked and set on fire.

Further supporting the market, Kuwait's oil minister said oil prices would continue to rise in 2015 as supply levels fell.

"Hopefully in the second half of 2015 we will see better prices," said the minister, Ali al-Omair.

Benchmark Brent futures traded at $61.93 a barrel, up 41 cents, by 1257 GMT.

U.S. crude was up 20 cents at $52.97 a barrel. U.S. markets remained closed for a public holiday and thus trading volumes were reduced.

Oil markets rose strongly last week after another drop in the U.S. rig count, pushing Brent back above $60 a barrel for the first time since December.

Backed by signs of lower oil industry spending, Brent price has increased by more than 30 percent since January. It hit $45.19 in January, the lowest in almost six years, down from $115 last June.

Kuwait's Omair said the current oil surplus was now "definitely lower" than 1.8 million barrels per day.

"The big guessing game is whether we are now moving to a range from $60-68, or whether we're about to turn south again and head back below $60 or possibly $50," said Jeffries oil broker Christopher Bellew.

The loss of output from Libya comes as Iraq's southern oil exports have fallen sharply to below 1.5 million bpd in the first two weeks of February, shipping data tracked by Reuters showed.

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