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GOLD: With GOLD rejecting higher level prices to close lower the past week, further bearishness is envisaged. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,240.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,230.00 level...
Analytics & Forecasts
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FXTechstrategy Team, 14 March 2016, 02:34
The labor market is strengthening, but inflation remains stubbornly below target and financial conditions are volatile," Daniella Gambino, 22 years old, told listeners gathered in the Federal Reserve's chandeliered boardroom in Washington...
Other
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Francis Dogbe, 13 March 2016, 23:05 #Fed
Fixed exchange rates limit the degrees of freedom for policymakers. The breakdown of Bretton Woods in 1971 removed this constraint on official action, and the results were larger budget deficit and higher inflation. The zero bound on interest rates also posed a constraint on behavior...
Banks
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Francis Dogbe, 13 March 2016, 23:05
We’ve had evidence that a weak C$ finally started lifting manufacturing shipments, export volumes and GDP generally towards the end of last year. However, the strong rebound in the C$ recently threatens to stem that tide, with the loonie well above its November-January average...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 13 March 2016, 21:26
Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Mar 8 & were released Friday Mar 11. AUD and JPY are the largest held net longs vs. the USD, an unlikely pair as we consider their contrasting risk profiles. Tuesday’s position date incorporates the most recent U.S...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 13 March 2016, 20:51 #forex
This week will have the Bank of Japan, Bank of England and the Federal Reserve policy meetings where the benchmark rates are expected to remain unchanged...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Daniel Bancans, 13 March 2016, 20:22
Ahead of the new week’s trade we see the pound to dollar exchange rate at 1.4387, the best levels for buying dollars since mid February are now on offer...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 13 March 2016, 20:14 #forex
USD/СAD: Wave analysis and forecast for 11.03 – 18.03: Downtrend dominates. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.3450. Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3450 with the targets of 1.3054...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 13 March 2016, 19:47
The British pound has corrected higher against the New Zealand dollar following the Reserve bank of New Zealand’s decisionto cut interest rates at its March rate meeting...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 13 March 2016, 19:42 #forex
USD/JPY: Wave analysis and forecast for 11.03 – 18.03: The pair is likely to decline. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 114.55. Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 114.55 with the targets of 108.00 – 107.00...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 13 March 2016, 19:39
The Aussie, ceteris paribus, will probably continue its current recovery versus the US dollar while against the pound sterling we are looking for a reversal in fortunes. One thing to look out for in the week ahead will be the RBA minutes and commentary from RBA officials Debelle and Ellis...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 13 March 2016, 19:38
USD/CHF: Wave analysis and forecast for 11.03 – 18.03: Downtrend continues. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.0089. Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.0089 with the target of 0.95...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 13 March 2016, 19:36 #usdchf
The euro exchange rate complex is vulnerable to downside pressure over the week ahead we believe. Risk remains tilted to more euro weakness as markets awaken to the fact the ECB could cut interest rates further in 2016/2017...
GBP/USD: Wave analysis and forecast for 11.03 – 18.03: The pair is undergoing correction. The rise in the pair is possible. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.4115. Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction above the level of 1.4115 with the targets of 1.45 – 1.4690...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 13 March 2016, 19:32
EUR/USD: Wave analysis and forecast for 11.03 – 18.03: Uptrend continues. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.0820. Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.0820 with the target of 1.15 – 1.16...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 13 March 2016, 19:26
In the world of sports there is no more paranoid position than being a hockey goalie. You are, for intents and purposes, a human shield used for target practice...
Other
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Sherif Hasan, 13 March 2016, 19:19
Comments from European Parliament President Martin Schulz in a TV interview over the weekend Neither the US nor Europe is prepared for Trump to be US President Says Trump is a populist, has no international experience "Trump belongs to these people that we also have here in Europe, who have a sca...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 13 March 2016, 19:16
Two more (separate) items from China this weekend Shang Fulin, chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) said cuts to ratings/outlooks on China and its financial institutions were a misjudgement Its not news that China isn't happy about ratings cuts: China People's Daily: 'Misund...
Market News
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Sherif Hasan, 13 March 2016, 19:13
USD: Renewed Uptrend. Bullish. We expect the Fed to keep rates on hold next week while lowering median forecasts on growth and inflation. That said, we are only expecting the Fed to lower the median 2016 dot to three hikes from four currently, stressing data dependence...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 13 March 2016, 18:29 #forex
This is the article "Strength and Comparison" for the coming week, the article "Ranking, Rating and Score" has also been published this weekend...