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Thursday, September 14th
Today the GBP/USD pair consolidates its positions near the level of 1.3200 amid broad cautiousness, triggered by upcoming BoE meeting. On Wednesday, the pair came under strong selling pressure, losing more than a cent from its yearly tops, posted at 1.3329 during previous trading session. Pair’s retreat could explained by renewed demand for the US dollar, backed by recent headlines that US President D.Trump’s administration is planning to announce new framework for tax legislation in about two weeks. However, it is expected that the pair will continue to demonstrate subdued trading activity, as we are heading towards the key event of this week – BoE interest rate decision. According to market’s expectations, the regulator will keep its rate unchanged, while any comments from MPC regarding Bank’s further monetary policy projection, especially in light of the latest UK inflation figures, will be able to set up pair’s further trajectory. Besides BoE meeting, investors will also pay attention to the US CPI print, which will affect investors’ estimations regarding a Dec Fed rate hike.
The EUR/USD pair remains within the lower end of its weekly range, however, having corrected back above the level of 1.1900 from its 2-week lows, posted earlier this session at 1.1866 spot. Pair’s recent retreat is mainly attributed to the renewed optimism around the US dollar, triggered by recent news that the US tax reform guidance would be announced by the end of this month, which in turn revived market’s confidence in ability of the US President to fulfill his promises. On the data front, today investors will focus their attention on the US inflation report, which will be able to indicate further Fed steps regarding its monetary policy. However, increased cautiousness, backed by upcoming BoC interest rate decision will also influence the pair during the European session, limiting any pair’s sharp moves.
The dollar/yen pair has stalled its 3-day bullish run and now is consolidating in the region of its 2-week highs, posted earlier this session at 110.73 spot, as lower risk appetite prevails across the market this Thursday. The fact is that investors remained disappointed by the weak industrial production data of China, which is the biggest producer in the world. Adding to this, the upcoming key event of this Thursday – BoE interest rate decision also adds some cautiousness among investors that provides additional support to safe-haven assets, such as the yen. However, further downside correction of the pair looks fragile on the back of renewed optimism around the US dollar, underpinned by recent headlines that the US President administration is going to announce its much awaited tax plan outline by the end of this month. Looking ahead, today investors will closely watch for the US inflation prints, which will be able to boost volatility across the market during the NA session due to ongoing speculations about the Fed's interest rate hike this year.
The AUD/USD pair was trading in the south direction in early Europe, having trimmed part of its strong previous gains. In Asia the pair received strong bullish impetus, after the Australian jobs data came strongly above market’s expectation, thereby supporting the Aussie across the board and allowing AUD/USD once again to break through its psychological level of 0.8000. However, the pair lost its upside momentum after China showed lower-than-expected industrial production numbers that forced the pair to retreat below its psychological mark, as China is the biggest business partner of Australia. Moreover, renewed demand for the US dollar, sparked by recent news headlines about intentions of the D.Trump’s administration to release the US tax reform plan by the end of this month, provides additional pressure on the pair this Thursday. Today all traders’ eyes will remain glued to the US CPI print, as it will be able to indicate next steps of the Fed regarding its monetary policy.
The main events of the day:
BoE Interest Rate Decision – 14.00 (GMT +3)
US Core CPI – 15.30 (GMT +3)
Support and resistance levels for the major currency pairs:
EURUSD S. 1.1795 R. 1.2039
USDJPY S. 109.57 R. 111.15
GBPUSD S. 1.3093 R. 1.3387
USDCHF S. 0.9551 R. 0.9705
AUDUSD S. 0.7926 R. 0.8074
NZDUSD S. 0.7170 R. 0.7338
USDCAD S. 1.2085 R. 1.2263
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