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Even the euro was very little changed from the buck at $1.1452, in front of some series of PMI readings from the other side of the area. It climbed to 52.4 in 51.1 in December...
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USD/CNY dropped 2.20% since the beginning of the year on US-China trade optimism, USD softness and China’s manufacturing rebound. However, the USD/CNY could rapidly turn north, as a trade deal with the US, China’s by far largest trade partner, would significantly reduce its trade surplus...
Given yesterday’s decision of the US Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates, US dollar weakness for 2019 is on track. The Fed decelerated monetary policy and its tightening path, and it gave a very strong signal that interest rate cycle is finished...
Pivot (invalidation): 54.10 Our preference Long positions above 54.10 with targets at 54.95 & 55.45 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 54.10 look for further downside with 53.60 & 53.05 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 15.8800 Our preference Long positions above 15.8800 with targets at 16.1900 & 16.3500 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 15.8800 look for further downside with 15.7800 & 15.6900 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1312.00 Our preference Long positions above 1312.00 with targets at 1323.00 & 1333.00 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 1312.00 look for further downside with 1309.00 & 1305.00 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 2657.50 Our preference Long positions above 2657.50 with targets at 2695.00 & 2709.50 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 2657.50 look for further downside with 2640.25 & 2626.00 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 11216.00 Our preference Short positions below 11216.00 with targets at 11074.00 & 10995.00 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 11216.00 look for further upside with 11280.00 & 11340.00 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 5.2600 Our preference Short positions below 5.2600 with targets at 5.1940 & 5.1700 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 5.2600 look for further upside with 5.2910 & 5.3220 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 0.7235 Our preference Long positions above 0.7235 with targets at 0.7300 & 0.7325 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 0.7235 look for further downside with 0.7205 & 0.7175 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1.3185 Our preference Short positions below 1.3185 with targets at 1.3115 & 1.3060 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 1.3185 look for further upside with 1.3220 & 1.3260 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 0.9955 Our preference Short positions below 0.9955 with targets at 0.9900 & 0.9885 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 0.9955 look for further upside with 0.9975 & 0.9995 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 109.10 Our preference Short positions below 109.10 with targets at 108.75 & 108.50 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 109.10 look for further upside with 109.40 & 109.75 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1.3095 Our preference Long positions above 1.3095 with targets at 1.3170 & 1.3200 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 1.3095 look for further downside with 1.3055 & 1.3015 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1.1450 Our preference Long positions above 1.1450 with targets at 1.1535 & 1.1570 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 1.1450 look for further downside with 1.1410 & 1.1390 as targets...
2019 started with a cautious outlook. Outside the US-China trade tensions, worries centred on the effect of the US Federal Reserve tightening. Normalization came when risk appetite was shaky and valuations for stocks and bond were elevated...
