US interest rate hikes, geopolitical tensions and China's growing debt burden are among the risk factors CIO is keeping an eye on. But while short-term market corrections can't be ruled out, CIO thinks the bear is still asleep for now...
Next week is packed with central bank decisions, both in developed and emerging markets. On the developed market side, the Reserve Bank of Australia will likely remain on hold, given the country's subdued inflationary pressure...
Historically, no asset has been a greater creator of long-term wealth than the stock market. Over time, stocks have generated a 7% annualized return, inclusive of dividend reinvestment and adjusted for inflation...
Yesterdays, FOMC meeting, and Yellen’s final appearance as Fed Chair went broadly as expected. The Fed left interest rates unchanged but indicating that a March rate hike was on the table. The statement highlighted firming inflation and solid economic data...
Chinese economy has proven itself robust last month. Showing signs of continuous progression in manufacturing production following Chinese New Year, Chinese January PMI was at 51.3, slightly weaker than December (51...
EUR/CHF came under renewed selling pressure yesterday in the late afternoon as it slid from 1.1637 to 1.1554 before consolidating at around 1.1570...
US stocks had a poor performance during the last two days, with a performance of -1.43% for Nikkei 225, -1.37% for Dow Jones and -1.09% for S&P500...
Its widely expected that the FOMC will hold policy steady and signal that the next likely interest rate hike will come in March. Therefore, the focus will be on the language around the meeting...
This week comments by the US administration in Davos have weakened the USD, and remarks made by Mario Draghi at the European Central Bank press conference strengthened the euro...
Recently providing December 2017 CPI Y/Y at 3.0% (on line with expectations), December Retail Price Index at 278.1 (consensus: 277.6), December PPI at 0.4% (consensus: 0.2%) and November Unemployment Rate at 4...
EUR/USD took a roller coaster ride over the last 24 hours as US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and President Trump made opposite comments about the greenback, while the ECB was holding its first press conference of the year...
Monday’s fruitless negotiations between the United States and its Canadian – Mexican counterparts has brought many uncertainties to the question if the trilateral “American” arrangement might hold...
With all the noise created by Trump’s visit in Davos, the first ECB meeting of the year will almost go unnoticed. The single currency printed another multi-year high earlier this morning as EUR/USD reached 1.2459 before consolidating at around 1.2415...
Receiving international loans since 2010 and more recently through the EU 2015 bailout (EUR 40.2 billion distributed out of EUR 86 billion made available) and on the verge of receiving additional EU financial assistance of EUR 6...
Since the beginning of the week, the US dollar has consolidated losses against most of its peers. However, it seems that this period of is over as investors have started to sell the greenback once again. On Wednesday, the yen rally resumed with USD/JPY breaking the 110 support to the downside...
Following President Zumas’ reelection in 2014, his recent rejection by the ruling party African National Congress (ANC) and his 783 related charges upheld by the South African Supreme Court of Appeal, investors have become optimistic, thus reinforcing the South African Rand (ZAR) and equity marke...
We remain optimistic on China, with an above-consensus GDP forecast. This is based on global economics and China’s ability to harvest demand. Domestically, China is unbalanced but on a global basis it is diversified (its New Silk Road strategy is on mark...
A midterm-spread in US-Bunds and US-Europe yields suggests a correction in EUR/USD is likely. This, after the minutes of the last European Central Bank monetary policy meeting triggered an extension of EUR/USD rally to current 1.22 highs...
Slow increase. (By Peter Rosenstreich ) • Bitcoin is confirming further recovery after 17/01/2018 collapse. Hourly support is located at 10'775 (22/12/2017 low). In the short-term, the...
