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Relationship between the two largest economies does not bode well. The Trump administration memorandum released on Thursday to impose 25% tariffs on Chinese imports worth USD 60 billion is worrying investors. The first signs are already in place: Hong Kong Hang Seng sells off -2...
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Jiming Huang, 23 March 2018, 12:52
Markets are on a knife-edge. US President Trumps imposing new trade sanctions against China has meaningfully increased the probability of a trade war. China is unlikely to site idly buy this time around. While at the EU summit, which is expected to discuss the US steel and aluminum tariffs...
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Jiming Huang, 23 March 2018, 12:47
Markets are once again bracing for US Trump trade policy “on the fly”. With Rex Tillerson out of the way, Larry Kudlow supporting punitive actions against China and Peter Novara and Wilder Ross steady daring Trump on just about anything could happen today...
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Jiming Huang, 22 March 2018, 13:20
As broadly expected the FOMC lifted the Feds fund rate targets by 25bps to 1.50% - 1.75%. Fed members adjusted their forecast so that they reflect their more optimistic view of the US economy. The press statement also underwent changes, all positive...
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Jiming Huang, 22 March 2018, 13:19
Elected on Sunday 18 March with a majority of 76%, President Vladimir Vladimirovitch Poutine confirms his fourth and (supposedly) last mandate as President of the Russian Federation, giving a strong signal on international stage and confirming his popularity among the Russian public opinion...
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Jiming Huang, 21 March 2018, 13:03
According to the Federal Government’s Expert Group published, Switzerland is also expected to take advantage of the broad-based economic recovery. The SECO revised its growth forecast to the upside as it anticipates that the dynamic recovery will continue. The economy is expected to growth 2...
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Jiming Huang, 21 March 2018, 13:01
Further sideways consolidation likely. (By Peter Rosenstreich) • Bitcoin trades indistinctly at the 8200 range, breaking hourly support at 7614 (02/02/2018 low) and expecting to trade sideway in the shortterm...
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Jiming Huang, 19 March 2018, 13:11
Following Zhou Xiaochuan retirement announcement five months ago, markets were looking for newly elected People’s Bank of China governor announcement of March 19...
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Jiming Huang, 19 March 2018, 13:06
Blowback from scandal deepened today as Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe took responsibility for the loss of trust in his governments. However he continues to deny that he or his wife had intervened in the sale of land to a connected school operator...
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Jiming Huang, 19 March 2018, 13:04
Facing a strong depreciation against the single currency (EUR/CHF at 1.17; +9.04% in 1 year) and anticipating the risk of a potential trade war escalation, the Swiss National Bank finally took the decision to maintain its deposit rate stable at -0.75...
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Jiming Huang, 16 March 2018, 12:47
Financial markets are encountering turbulence on the last trading day of the week amid allegation that Trump has fired his national security adviser H.R. McMaster...
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Jiming Huang, 16 March 2018, 12:45
Following recent reforms in Chinese Government and growing regulatory power of People’s Bank of China with the aim of improving stability either from a political and financial standpoint, today’s economic data release of February Retail Sales and February Industrial Production are given at 9...
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Jiming Huang, 14 March 2018, 13:02
This morning, the US dollar erased partially yesterday losses caused by another disruption in the Trump administration. Indeed, on Tuesday, the greenback fell sharply as Donald Trump fired his Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, and named CIA director Mike Pompeo for the job...
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Jiming Huang, 14 March 2018, 12:57
5.80%, a level that was not seen since the 1970s. February Net change in employment is estimated at 15’400 following January decline at -88’000, mainly boosted by an increase in part-time jobs and decline in full-time positions while Canadian hourly earnings remained solid, valued at 3...
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Jiming Huang, 13 March 2018, 12:59
The CPI surprised to the upside in January as the headline gauge printed at 2.1%y/y versus 1.9% expected, while the core measure, which excludes the most volatile components came in at 1.8%y/y versus 1.7% median forecast...
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Jiming Huang, 13 March 2018, 12:57
Threatening Europe, China and Japan aluminum (10%) and steel industries (25%) after implementing heavy tariffs, Donald Trump is now focusing on one of Europe’s flagship industry following infructuous discussions of both European and US negotiators in Brussels, aiming at exempting European industr...
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Jiming Huang, 12 March 2018, 12:52
The crypto market recovers slowly after last week correction, which wiped off $132 billion in valuation. The price of Bitcoin bounce back 14%, from $8,368 last Friday to around $9,550 on Monday morning...
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Jiming Huang, 12 March 2018, 12:51
European stocks closed higher yesterday, as political tensions start rising in the US, now that Trump’s economic adviser Gary Cohn publicly confirmed his resignation with immediate effect, an event that does not augur well for US – EU trade agreements...
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Jiming Huang, 8 March 2018, 12:42
The emerging market complex has been caught in cross fire since yesterday after Donald Trump said Canada and Mexico would be excluded from the tariffs, provided that the three countries succeed in reaching a new NAFTA agreement, while other countries will still be subject to it...
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Jiming Huang, 8 March 2018, 12:41
In the context of growing tensions with its first commercial partner, fighting on the front of NAFTA’s new terms and conditions and recently adding up tariffs on aluminum (10%) and steel (25%), Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz faces the unique choice of maintaining monetary policy unchanged...
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Jiming Huang, 7 March 2018, 12:44