UBS latest short-term ideas for EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD. EUR/USD: has already had big moves following USDJPY. This price action is likely to continue...
EUR/USD dips below 1.1250 potential buying opportunities .. The pair currently trades at 1.1283. The immediate resistance is located 1.1344, above which the pair could re-test 1.1384. On the flip side, a break below 1.1280 could drive the pair lower to 1.1228...
YEN sending USDJPY down below 123.00, an instant 1.4 % loss. Technically USDJPY could continue falling towards 122.00 but if we get a retracement to the upside, we could use it for short trades. 123.75 with stop of 50 MA 124.29. ( L4,61...
"With the breakdown of Euro Area GDP data and US Jolts figures the ‘highlight’ of today’s economic news, the FX market will go on watching bonds. There is no catalyst for EUR/USD to fall back unless amnesia fades and we remember the implications of the US data...
The road back for the US Federal Reserve to ‘normal’ interest rates, inflation and economic growth is uncertain...
According to Westpac: "Friday’s EUR/USD close completed a bearish 3 day pattern, confirming the end of the recent upward correction." German 10-year yield ended only slightly higher on Friday despite more notable post-employment report, notes BNP Paribas...
"The AUD/USD has been on a wild ride of late, rallying to a high of 0.8164 on 14 May, only to plunge to below 0.76 on 1 June before settling near 0.77 in front of Friday’s US payrolls report...
EUR: Draghi Gives EUR Legs. Bearish. "The ECB did not push back against higher yields in the Euro Area, which could offer some near term support to EUR on the crosses...
Technical Developments to Watch: EUR/USD still below key trend line resistance at 1.1380 GBP/USD testing key support at 1.5190 USD/JPY at a 13-year high, bias bullish above 124.15 NZD/USD in play, potential for another leg lower if RBNZ cuts rates...
Euro paused to digest gains having reversed upward as expected against the US Dollar following two days of aggressive gains. Near-term resistance is at 1.1320, the 50% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 1.1439...
Goldman Sachs: The employment components of various manufacturing surveys have been weak (Dallas Fed manufacturing survey, Chicago PMI & the ISM services report) Mining sector job losses may persist and continue to be a drag GS say that the consensus forecast has overestimated jobs growth in...
"With unwavering consistency, the consensus continues to look for the CHF to weaken against the EUR, and with unwavering consistency, they are likely to be wrong again." "The specious logic of the bears is appealing...
According to Bloomberg: Economists forecast that the economy added 226,000 jobs in May, down from 223,000 in April, and unemployment rate is expected to stay unchanged at 5.4...
The Euro rebounded against the US Dollar as expected having produced a bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 1.1320 exposes the 61.8% level at 1.1439. Alternatively, a turn below the 38.2% Fib at 1.1202 opens the door for a challenge of the 1...
Analysts at Goldman Sachs are telling clients to look for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates above the current level of 0% in mid-September. However, in an email authored by Chief Economist Jan Hatzius, this forecast for rising interest rates to begin in September remains “a close call...
The euro rises followed volatile session when the single currency climbed more than 2 per cent against the dollar which was one of its biggest daily rises in more than three years...
Europe's political leaders, central bankers and Greek politicians agree on only one thing: if Greece goes down, they don't want their fingerprints on the murder weapon. Athens ran out of cash a long time ago and is technically bankrupt in all but name...
2015-06-02 05:30 GMT (or 07:30 MQ MT5 time) | [AUD - Cash Rate] past data is 2.00% forecast data is 2.00% actual data is 2.00% according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for AUD in our case...
Cleaner positioning. "Equally, positioning metrics suggest that dollar longs have being pared back. A regression of currency manager index returns against the DXY now points to flat positioning, while the IMM shows a greater than 50% paring back in dollar longs," Deutsche Bank notes...
