📊 Technical Analysis — April 9, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis — April 9, 2026

9 4月 2026, 10:56
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis — April 9, 2026

■ Overview

Core Market Reality

Compared to previous sessions, the current technical landscape is significantly stronger:

👉 A broad-based rally across nearly all markets


Key Highlights (5 Points)

1. Cross JPY pairs are universally strong

  • EUR/JPY: Strong buy across all timeframes
  • GBP/JPY: Strong buy across all timeframes
  • AUD/JPY: Strong buy across all timeframes
  • NZD/JPY: Strong buy across all timeframes

👉 Clear and aggressive JPY weakness


2. Risk assets are rising simultaneously

  • BTC: Strong buy
  • US equities: Strong across the board
  • Gold & Silver: Strong buy

👉 Capital is flowing upward across multiple asset classes simultaneously


3. EUR and NZD stand out as particularly strong

  • EUR/USD: Strong buy across all timeframes
  • NZD/USD: Strong buy across all timeframes

👉 This is not USD dominance
👉 Multiple currencies outperforming USD


4. Oil remains supported

  • WTI: Buy bias across all timeframes

👉 Commodities remain structurally supported


5. Exception: AUD/NZD weakness

  • AUD/NZD: Strong sell (short to mid-term)

👉 NZD clearly outperforming AUD


■ Overall Ranking

🥇 S-Rank (Strongest Trends)

  1. EUR/JPY
    → Cleanest trend across all timeframes
    👉 One of the strongest directional markets
  2. GBP/JPY
    → Pure reflection of JPY weakness
  3. AUD/JPY
    → Strong risk-on cross with solid follow-through
  4. NZD/JPY
    → NZD strength + JPY weakness
    👉 Potential leader in this cycle
  5. XAU/USD (Gold)
    → Strong, consistent uptrend
    👉 High-quality structure
  6. S&P 500
    → Most stable equity trend
  7. Dow Jones
    → Broad equity strength confirmation
  8. Nasdaq 100
    → Growth stocks holding strong

🥈 A-Rank (Very Strong, Slight Noise)

  1. EUR/USD
    → Clear EUR dominance
  2. NZD/USD
    → Strongest USD pair candidate
  3. BTC/USD
    → Strong risk-on signal

12–14. Silver / XAG / Gold Futures
→ Metals sector broadly strong

  1. USD/JPY
    → Still bullish, but weaker vs cross JPY

🥉 B-Rank (Bullish but Less Clean)

  1. AUD/USD
  2. EUR/CHF
  3. CAD/JPY
  4. EUR/GBP
  5. WTI Crude

👉 Still bullish, but not top-tier trends


⚠️ C-Rank (Mixed / Avoid)

  • USD/CHF → Timeframe conflict
  • Natural Gas → Short-term bounce only
  • DAX / Nikkei / FTSE / CAC → Short-term weakness vs long-term strength

🔴 Weakest

  • AUD/NZD
    👉 NZD clearly dominating AUD

■ Thematic Breakdown

1. JPY

👉 Weakest currency

  • EUR/JPY ↑
  • GBP/JPY ↑
  • AUD/JPY ↑
  • NZD/JPY ↑

👉 Core driver of this market


2. EUR

👉 Broad strength

  • EUR/USD ↑
  • EUR/JPY ↑
  • EUR/CHF ↑
  • EUR/GBP ↑

👉 Near full-spectrum EUR strength


3. NZD

👉 Standout performer

  • NZD/USD ↑
  • NZD/JPY ↑
  • AUD/NZD ↓

👉 One of the strongest currencies right now


4. USD

👉 Not uniform

  • USD/JPY: Strong
  • USD/CHF: Weak
  • EUR/USD: Rising
  • NZD/USD: Rising

👉 This is a selective market, not USD dominance


■ Commodities

Gold

👉 One of the strongest assets

  • Strong buy across all timeframes

✔ Buy the dip
❌ Shorting is dangerous


Silver

👉 Strong follow-through from gold

✔ Higher volatility → bigger moves


Oil (WTI)

👉 Bullish, but not dominant

✔ Uptrend intact
✔ Secondary leader


Natural Gas

👉 Short-term bounce only

❌ Not suitable for trend following


■ Equity Indices

Strongest

  1. S&P 500
  2. Dow Jones
  3. Nasdaq

👉 Clear bullish US equity environment


Mixed / Lagging

  • DAX
  • Nikkei
  • FTSE
  • CAC

👉 Short-term correction vs long-term strength


■ BTC Analysis

Current State

  • All timeframes: Strong buy

👉 Not a bounce — trend resumption


Strategy

✔ Buy dips
✔ Wait for pullbacks before re-entry

👉 Supported by broader risk-on environment


■ Trade Setup Rankings

🟢 Best Longs

  1. EUR/JPY
  2. GBP/JPY
  3. AUD/JPY
  4. NZD/JPY
  5. Gold
  6. S&P 500
  7. EUR/USD
  8. NZD/USD
  9. BTC/USD
  10. Dow Jones

🔴 Shorts

  1. AUD/NZD
  2. USD/CHF (sell rallies)
  3. Natural Gas (higher timeframe bias)

■ Practical Summary

Clean Trend Trades

  • EUR/JPY Long
  • GBP/JPY Long
  • NZD/JPY Long
  • Gold Long
  • S&P 500 Long

Relative Strength Trades

  • NZD/USD Long
  • EUR/USD Long
  • EUR/CHF Long
  • AUD/NZD Short

Caution

  • USD/CHF
  • Nikkei
  • FTSE / CAC
  • Natural Gas

■ Final Conclusion

👉 The current market can be summarized as:

“A full risk-on rally led by JPY weakness, EUR strength, and NZD dominance.”


Three Key Pillars

✔ Broad cross-JPY rally
✔ Simultaneous rise in gold, BTC, and equities
✔ NZD strength vs AUD weakness


■ One-Line Summary

👉 This is not a market to search for weakness

👉 It is a market to buy strength — aggressively and selectively