📊 FX Option Expiries — March 19, 2026

📊 FX Option Expiries — March 19, 2026

19 3月 2026, 10:59
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 FX Option Expiries — March 19, 2026

■ Spot Levels
Pair Spot
EUR/USD 1.1473
USD/JPY 159.66
GBP/USD 1.3271
USD/CHF 0.7921
USD/CAD 1.3725
AUD/USD 0.7037
NZD/USD 0.5819
EUR/GBP 0.8643

■ Thursday (March 19)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1425 (690M)

  • 1.1450 (780M)

  • 1.1500 (1.7B) ★ Largest

  • 1.1530 (920M)

  • 1.1550 (800M)

  • 1.1560 (560M)

  • 1.1575 (540M)

  • 1.1580 (880M)

  • 1.1590 (1.2B)

  • 1.1650 (550M)

👉 Spot 1.1473

  • 1.1500 = dominant pin level

  • Next upside attraction: 1.1580–1.1590 zone


USD/JPY

  • 159.00 (800M)

👉 Spot 159.66

  • Options positioned below

  • Suggests mild pullback pressure toward 159


GBP/USD

  • 1.3200 (680M)

  • 1.3350 (850M) ★ Largest

  • 1.3400 (520M)

👉 Range fixation around 1.33


AUD/USD

  • 0.6950 (2.0B) ★ Largest

  • 0.7125 (500M)

👉 Spot 0.7037

  • 0.6950 = major downside defense

  • Range centered in the 0.70 area


NZD/USD

  • 0.5940 (850M)


■ Friday (March 20)

EUR/USD

  • 1.1350 (910M)

  • 1.1370 (1.4B)

  • 1.1380 (750M)

  • 1.1400 (1.5B)

  • 1.1450 (1.0B)

  • 1.1460 (770M)

  • 1.1465 (780M)

  • 1.1500 (1.6B) ★ Major

  • 1.1550 (730M)

  • 1.1580 (710M)

  • 1.1645 (610M)

  • 1.1650 (750M)

👉 1.1400–1.1500 = ultra-dense pin zone


AUD/USD

  • 0.6900 (1.2B)

  • 0.7050 (1.1B)

  • 0.7100 (580M)

  • 0.7200 (1.0B)

👉 0.7050 = central range level


■ Overall Structure

EUR/USD
1.1500 central pin with strong support around 1.1400 zone

USD/JPY
Pullback pressure toward 159

GBP/USD
1.33 range-bound structure

AUD/USD
0.6950 strong support + 0.7050 center range


■ Market Implication

👉 Late-week market structure is clearly:

“Fully option-dominated, range-constrained environment”

Key characteristics:

  • Trend-following becomes less effective

  • Price gravitates toward key option strikes

  • Breakouts tend to fail


🎯 Trading Insight

Best approach:

👉 Fade moves around NY cut timing

  • Sell highs / buy lows within range

  • Target reversion toward option magnets

  • Avoid chasing breakouts


📌 One-line takeaway

“Late-week option control — range trading > trend trading.”