📊 Technical Analysis — March 4, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis — March 4, 2026

4 3月 2026, 10:28
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis — March 4, 2026

“Weak USD × Strong Commodity Currencies × Precious Metals Trend × Short-Term Yen Rebound.”

🌍 Dominant Market Structure
Asset Status
USD ❌ Weak
AUD 🟢 Among the strongest
NZD 🟢 Strong
JPY ⚠ Short-term rebound
Gold 🔥 Strong uptrend
Silver 🔥 Strong rally
BTC 🟢 Strong rebound

💱 Dollar Pairs

🔹 EUR/USD (1.1630)

Short-term: 🟢 Strong Buy
Daily: 🔴 Strong Sell

👉 Short-term rebound

Still a pullback within a broader downtrend.


🔹 GBP/USD (1.3379)

Short-term: 🟢 Strong Buy
Daily: 🔴 Strong Sell

👉 Same structure as EUR

Temporary rebound phase


🔹 AUD/USD (0.7053)

All timeframes: 🟢 Strong Buy

👉 The leading currency in the current market


🔹 NZD/USD (0.5917)

Short-term: 🟢 Strong Buy
Daily: ⚠ Sell

👉 Not as strong as AUD


💴 Yen Market

🔹 USD/JPY (157.12)

Short-term: 🔴 Strong Sell
Daily: 🟢 Strong Buy

👉 Short-term yen rebound

However, the broader trend still favors yen weakness.


🔁 Cross-Yen Pairs
Pair Status
GBP/JPY 🟢 Strong Buy
AUD/JPY 🟢 Among the strongest
NZD/JPY 🟢 Strong
CAD/JPY ⚠ Short-term correction

👉 Cross-yen pairs remain in an overall uptrend


🥇 Gold (5,193)

All timeframes: 🟢 Strong Buy

👉 Clear trending market


🥈 Silver (86)

All timeframes: 🟢 Strong Buy

👉 Same structure as gold.


🛢 Oil (WTI 75)

Short-term: 🔴 Sell
Daily: 🟢 Strong Buy

👉 Pullback within an uptrend


🧊 Natural Gas

Daily: 🔴 Sell

👉 Weak commodity.


🪙 BTC (71,500)

Short-term: 🟢 Strong Buy

👉 Risk appetite returning


🎯 Trading Priorities

🟢 Long Bias

1️⃣ Gold
2️⃣ Silver
3️⃣ AUD/USD
4️⃣ AUD/JPY
5️⃣ GBP/JPY


⚠ Buy the Dip

  • USD/JPY

  • WTI Oil


🔴 Weak Assets

  • EUR/GBP

  • Natural Gas


🧠 One-Line Summary

“USD selling + commodity buying market.”

Within that structure:

👉 AUD, Gold, and Silver are the key leaders.