📊 August 19, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Summary

📊 August 19, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Summary

19 8月 2025, 11:44
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 August 19, 2025 | Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Summary

📈 Assets with Bullish Momentum (Improved / Sustained)

  • USD/JPY (147.80): Strong buy across short–medium term; daily also bullish → Ongoing USD strength vs JPY

  • EUR/JPY (172.65): Strong buy across all timeframes → Leading cross-yen pair

  • GBP/JPY (199.77): Strong buy across all timeframes → Strongest yen-weakness pair

  • CAD/JPY (107.02): Buy bias short–medium term; daily neutral → Yen-selling advantage

  • CHF/JPY (183.47): Buy across all timeframes → Safe haven against yen buying

  • AUD/JPY (95.91): Buy short–medium term; daily neutral → Suitable for short-term plays

  • EUR/USD (1.1682): Sell bias short term, but strong buy mid–long term → Dip-buying favored

  • GBP/USD (1.3517): Weak short term, but daily shows strong buy → Returning to long-term bullish

  • EUR/GBP (0.8642): Buy short–medium term → Euro-buying vs GBP-selling trend

  • EUR/AUD (1.8003): Daily improved to strong buy → Euro favored over AUD

📉 Assets Turning Bearish / Deteriorating

  • AUD/USD (0.6489): Strong sell across short–daily → Broad AUD weakness

  • USD/CAD (1.3810): Short-term sell, but daily strong buy → Conflicting signals

  • USD/CHF (0.8056): Strong sell mid–daily → Swiss franc strength trend

  • USD/NZD (1.6887): Sell bias short term; daily only bullish → Volatile pattern

  • NZD/JPY (87.52): Buy short term; daily strong sell → Yen-buying pressure remains

  • XAU/USD (Gold 3,341): Short-term sell, mid-term buy, daily neutral → Waiting for catalysts

  • NZD/CAD (0.8178): Sell across all timeframes → One of the weakest crosses

  • BTC/USD (115,720): Buy short term, but daily sell → Heavy topside, risk of pullback


💡 Strategy Points

  • Cross-yen pairs (EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, CAD/JPY, CHF/JPY): Broadly bullish → Yen-selling strategies dominant

  • Dollar pairs: Mixed signals → EUR/USD & GBP/USD long-term bullish; AUD/USD outright bearish

  • Commodity-linked (AUD, NZD, Gold): Weak tone → Risk-on flows likely shifting into cross-yen pairs

  • BTC/USD: Showing signs of exhaustion → Adjustment risk in play