📊 Technical Analysis – February 18, 2026
📊 Overall Structure
“Short-term dollar rebound, but higher timeframes still show underlying dollar weakness. AUD is the strongest, gold is correcting, BTC is bouncing short-term.”
The market structure is currently:
Short-term USD rebound × Medium-term USD weakness.
The picture changes depending on the timeframe.
💵 Dollar Majors
🔹 EUR/USD (1.1836)
-
Short-term: Strong sell
-
Daily: Neutral
👉 Pullback phase. The broader uptrend has temporarily stalled.
🔹 GBP/USD (1.3571)
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Short-term: Strong buy
-
Daily: Sell
👉 A rebound move, but higher timeframes remain weak.
🔹 AUD/USD (0.7080)
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All timeframes: Strong buy
👉 The current leading currency.
The most stable and clean uptrend in the market.
🔹 NZD/USD (0.6014)
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Short-term: Strong buy
-
Hourly structure: Sell
👉 At a potential trend inflection point.
🔺 USD/JPY (153.72)
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Short-term: Strong buy
-
Daily: Strong sell
👉 Short-term rebound.
The broader structure still points downward.
🔺 USD/CHF (0.7712)
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Short-term: Buy
-
Daily: Sell
👉 A clear example of the dollar’s short-term rebound.
🔁 Cross Yen Pairs
Short-term: Buy bias
Daily: Sell bias
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | Short-term buy / Daily sell |
| GBP/JPY | Same structure |
| CAD/JPY | Same structure |
| AUD/JPY | Strong short-term buy |
| NZD/JPY | Short-term buy |
| CHF/JPY | Neutral |
👉 Yen selling rebound is underway, but medium-term structure still favors yen strength.
🥇 Gold (4,921)
-
Short-term: Strong sell
-
Higher timeframe: Neutral
👉 In correction mode.
Potential formation of a pullback base.
🥈 Silver (75.94)
-
Short-term: Buy
-
Daily: Strong sell
👉 Classic rebound within a broader downtrend.
🧊 BTC (68,268)
-
Short-term: Strong buy
-
Daily: Strong sell
👉 Typical relief rally.
Not a confirmed structural reversal.
🌍 Relative Strength Ranking
🔺 Strongest
-
AUD
-
GBP (short-term)
🔻 Weakest
-
EUR
-
CHF
-
USD (on higher timeframes)
🎯 Strategy Framework
🟢 Short-Term Long Setups
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AUD/USD
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AUD/JPY
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GBP/USD
🔴 Medium-Term Fade Candidates
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USD/JPY
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EUR/JPY
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BTC/USD
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XAG/USD
📝 One-Line Summary
“Dollar is rebounding short-term,
but the broader trend still leans USD-weak.
AUD leads, gold is correcting, BTC is bouncing.”
This is a market where timeframe divergence can be exploited.


