📊 Technical Analysis – February 19, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis – February 19, 2026

19 2月 2026, 12:10
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis – February 19, 2026

📉 Market Structure Overview

“Short-term to intraday structure is clearly risk-off, with selling pressure dominant.”

  • Dollar pairs: Broad downside bias

  • Cross-yen pairs: Widespread breakdown

  • BTC: Fully bearish

  • Gold & silver: Short-term correction

This is currently a sell-dominated environment.


💱 Dollar Pairs

🔻 EUR/USD (1.1780)

All timeframes: Strong Sell

👉 Clear downtrend structure.


🔻 GBP/USD (1.3465)

All timeframes: Strong Sell

👉 Among the weakest majors. Classic rally-sell structure.


🔻 NZD/USD (0.5969)

All timeframes: Strong Sell

👉 Oceania currencies also breaking lower.


🔻 AUD/USD (0.7046)

Short-term: Strong Sell
Daily: Strong Buy

👉 Higher timeframe still intact, but short-term structure has clearly broken.


💴 Yen-Led Price Action

🔻 EUR/JPY / GBP/JPY / NZD/JPY / CAD/JPY

Short-term to intraday: Strong Sell

👉 Yen strength dominates — textbook risk-off flow.


🔸 USD/JPY (154.62)

Short-term: Strong Sell
Daily: Neutral

👉 Downward pressure building even in USD/JPY.


🥇 Gold (4,985)

Short-term: Strong Sell
Daily: Strong Buy

👉 Corrective phase within a broader uptrend.
Not a structural breakdown.


🥈 Silver (77.98)

Short-term: Strong Sell
Daily: Neutral

👉 Weaker than gold, elevated volatility.


🧊 BTC (66,578)

All timeframes: Strong Sell

👉 Clear capital flight structure.
Symbol of risk asset liquidation.


🌍 Relative Strength Ranking

🔺 Strongest

  1. JPY (Yen)

🔻 Weakest

  1. GBP

  2. NZD

  3. BTC


🎯 Tactical Priority

🔴 Sell Bias

  • EUR/USD

  • GBP/USD

  • NZD/USD

  • EUR/JPY

  • GBP/JPY

  • BTC/USD

🟡 Neutral / Wait

  • XAU/USD (in correction)


📝 One-Line Summary

“Rally-selling environment.
Yen strong, risk assets under pressure.”

This is not a contrarian phase.
It’s a follow-the-flow market.