📊 Technical Analysis – February 16, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis – February 16, 2026

Conclusion

“The dollar is rebounding short-term, but daily charts remain structurally divided.
Cross-yen pairs lean downward, while NZD stands out among commodity currencies.”

This is not a clean one-directional trend market.
It is a fragmented environment requiring selective positioning.

💱 Dollar Pairs

🔹 EUR/USD (1.1862)

• Short-term: Strong Sell

• Daily: Buy

👉 A deeper pullback within a broader uptrend.
Short-term structure is clearly corrective.

🔹 GBP/USD (1.3648)

• Overall: Neutral

👉 No clear directional edge.
Currently not a leading pair.

🔹 AUD/USD (0.7082)

• Short-term: Sell

• Daily: Strong Buy

👉 Pullback phase within a bullish structure.

🔹 NZD/USD (0.6043)

• All timeframes: Strong Buy

👉 Cleanest structure in the market right now.
NZD is the standout currency.

🔻 USD/JPY (153.37)

• Short-term: Sell

• Daily: Strong Sell

👉 Downtrend intact.
Yen strength continues to dominate.

🔻 USD/CHF (0.7700)

• Short-term: Buy

• Daily: Sell

👉 Dollar’s short-term rebound is most visible here.
Higher timeframe weakness still present.

🔁 Cross-Yen Pairs

Overall bias: Heavy on rallies

👉 Cross-yen pairs show limited upside momentum.

🥇 Gold (5,003)

• Daily: Strong Buy

• Short-term: Neutral

👉 Uptrend intact, but momentum has paused.
Currently consolidating near highs.

🥈 Silver (77.15)

• Daily: Strong Sell

• Short-term: Buy

👉 Short-term rebound within a weak broader structure.

🧊 BTC (68,945)

• Short-term: Buy

• Daily: Strong Sell

👉 Classic rebound within a larger downtrend.
Structure remains bearish.

🌏 Relative Strength Overview

🔺 Stronger Assets

• NZD

• Gold (higher timeframe)

• AUD (medium-term)

🔻 Weaker Assets

• CAD (especially in cross-yen)

• EUR (short-term)

• BTC (structurally)

🎯 Strategy Focus

🟢 Long Candidates

• NZD/USD

• XAU/USD (on dips)

• AUD/USD (after correction completes)

🔴 Rally-Sell Candidates

• EUR/JPY

• GBP/JPY

• CAD/JPY

📝 One-Line Summary

“This is not a broad dollar trend.
The market is divided.
It’s a selective environment — NZD and Gold remain the core plays.”

This is not a market to trade everything.
It’s a market to trade only the strongest structures.