Forecast and levels for S&P 500 - page 17

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Several short-term technical indicators have reached the highs of the last two years. Therefore, it can not be ruled out that some European indices, such as the DAX, may be vulnerable to a short-term correction. This hypothetical correction does not invalidate the upward trend of recent weeks.

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US stock markets are making consecutive records for several sessions, and in the case of the S&P500 this was the eighth bullish session, something that had not happened since 2013. This was also the case with the Nasdaq Composite, while Dow it was the seventh straight day to climb.

Sergey Golubev
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Sergey Golubev  

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2017.10.06 09:42

S&P 500 - strong bullish in intra-day; 2,551 is the key (based on the article)

The price on the H4 price is above Ichimoku cloud for the primary bullish trend: price is testing 2,551 resistance level to above for the bullish trend to be continuing.


  • "US 500: Retail trader data shows 16.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 5.22 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 10.5% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.9% lower than yesterday and 0.5% lower from last week."
  • "We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Positioning is less net-short than yesterday but more net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed US 500 trading bias."

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

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US markets traded with contained losses. The session was conditioned by the reaction to the publication of the employment report. The employment report provided an unclear description of the American labor market. In September, 33 thousand jobs were lost (the first fall in job creation since 2010), which was contrary to the estimate of an increase of 100 thousand jobs. This strong deviation was due to the passage of Hurricanes Irma and Harvey along the southern US coast. Despite this gloomy outlook, the unemployment rate declined and wages grew more than anticipated. 

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The oil sector closed down after news sources reported that Norway's Statoil said it found an area with more than 130 million barrels of oil in the North Sea. Favoring the German market was the publication, before the opening, of industrial production in the country for August, which increased by 2.60% from the estimated 0.90%.

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Suggar seems to have found some support around the 2014 low and made a double bottom at that key level and seems to be trading within a consolidation zone that goes from 15.14 down to 13.29.

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Asian markets closed with gains contained but were enough for several indexes in the region to reach the highs of this decade. In Japan, the Nikkei has reached levels not reached since 1996. In this country, it was published that industrial machinery orders rose 3.40% in August, comfortably surpassing forecasts of 1.10%.

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In the pre-opening, the European indexes rehearsed without major oscillations. Today's session should be influenced essentially by external factors. The first of these factors will be the publication of the results of two of the major US banks: JP Morgan and Citigroup. Another factor conditioning the trend of the European session will be the interventions of several members of Central Banks (among them Mario Draghi) at the IMF Annual Meeting, which starts at 3:00 p.m. (GMT - 01h00).

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Asian markets closed higher, with China's economic indicators offsetting Wall Street's weakness. In September, Chinese exports grew 8.10%, below the estimated 8.80%. Imports increased by 18.70% compared to forecasts of 13.50%. Although these numbers have a negative impact on GDP, they do not fail to signal the dynamism of the Chinese economy. When an economy is in the process of expanding, it is normal for its domestic consumption to be robust and that this translates into a greater demand for goods manufactured outside the country.

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In his address to the IMF Annual Assembly, Mario Draghi argued that neither stocks nor bonds are in a speculative bubble. However, according to the President of the ECB, there are some signs of "exaggeration" in the real estate market of commercial spaces within the Eurozone. In fact, economic recovery, reduced interest rates, as well as the demand for assets with appealing returns have boosted the value and incomes of various trading venues in some parts of the Euro Zone. As far as financial markets are concerned, Mario Draghi's words are likely to have a greater impact on the bond market than on the stock market.