Array Breakout — ten years of backtest, year by year (version 3.03)
2 October 2026, 07:24
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Array Breakout — ten years of backtest, year by year (version 3.03)
This page shows the full ten-year test of the current version, then the same run cut into calendar years, with one picture per year. Every year is shown, not a selection of the good ones.
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1. How it was tested
- MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester, "Every tick based on real ticks", spread included
- Gold, H1 chart, 1:500, the product's default settings
- One continuous run from 1 January 2016 to 1 September 2026, starting with 1,000 USD
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2. The whole run
1,000 USD · fixed 0.01 lot
Net profit +19,021 USD · Maximum equity drawdown 17.9% (relative) · Profit factor 1.60 · 12,443 trades (about 97 a month)
1,000 USD · Auto lot
Profit factor 2.06 · Maximum equity drawdown 18.5% (relative) · the same 12,443 trades. The lot grows with the account, so the result is compounded; we do not quote it as an expected return.
[insert picture: report_10y_1000_fixed.png]
[insert picture: report_10y_1000_auto.png]
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3. Year by year
Cut from the fixed-lot run above. The lot stays at 0.01 all the way, so the USD figures compare directly from year to year. Each year starts where the previous one ended; the run was not restarted.
Year — Trades — Net profit — Profit factor — Deepest balance fall inside the year
2016 — 1,080 — +1,368 USD — 1.79 — 286 USD
2017 — 1,083 — +162 USD — 1.08 — 279 USD
2018 — 1,235 — +108 USD — 1.05 — 293 USD
2019 — 1,206 — +735 USD — 1.31 — 247 USD
2020 — 1,169 — +1,586 USD — 1.52 — 366 USD
2021 — 1,260 — +333 USD — 1.10 — 512 USD
2022 — 1,261 — +296 USD — 1.09 — 351 USD
2023 — 1,162 — +1,718 USD — 1.71 — 557 USD
2024 — 1,095 — +2,460 USD — 1.85 — 503 USD
2025 — 1,121 — +5,219 USD — 2.22 — 427 USD
2026 (to August) — 771 — +5,036 USD — 2.25 — 395 USD
Every year ended in profit. Read the thin years too: 2017, 2018, 2021 and 2022 earned little, and in 2023 the balance fell 557 USD from its peak before the year ended in profit. At 0.01 lot a fall of that size is larger than a whole 500 USD account, which is why we recommend 1,000 USD or more.
[insert pictures: 2016.png … 2026.png, one per year]
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4. What this does not tell you
A backtest is evidence, not a promise. The market ahead need not look like the last ten years, and live trading has slippage, commission and server response time that the tester does not, so live results differ from test results.
The live account is public: https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2393304
The live account was opened with 500 USD, our minimum, so you can watch how the system behaves on the smallest balance we support. The broker added a bonus to that account as credit. Credit is not used to size trades or to open strategies; it only adds margin cover.
Buyers receive every Strategy Tester report file in full, to open in their own MetaTrader 5 and check trade by trade.
Start here: https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/776650
Broker, account and VPS: https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/776651
