(12 AUGUST 2020)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 1:US stocks sold sharply

(12 AUGUST 2020)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 1:US stocks sold sharply

12 August 2020, 09:23
Jiming Huang
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US stocks sold sharply into the closing bell on stalling fiscal stimulus discussions in the US. Broad profit taking on tech stocks sent Nasdaq 1.69% down on Tuesday, but utilities and real estate led losses in New York on mounting worries that a delayed, or no fiscal help would severely hit revenues in these sectors.

US treasuries were aggressively offered, as well. The US 10-year yield surged to 0.65%, a month high, and the yield curve steepened as the political deadlock revived worries regarding the skyrocketing government debt in the US, where the debt-to-GDP ratio has already surged to the record level of 136% in the second quarter. Fresh blood is needed to keep the economy running and to repay the existing debt.

The steep rise in US yields hit the gold market. The precious metal dropped about $170 per oz in one session, recording its strongest drop in seven years. The gold price nosedived to $1862 per oz, as the holders of long speculative positions rushed to the exit to lock in some profit. The downside correction we have seen in gold came as no surprise given the breathtaking rally that preceded the move. But nearing the $1845 per oz, the major 38.2% retracement on March – August rally, the sell-off should cool down and leave its place to consolidation and some dip buying as the gloomy risk sentiment and the rising inflation expectations amid massive monetary and fiscal stimuli remain supportive of gold in the medium, long term.

WTI crude made an attempt on the 200-day moving average ($42.90 pb), yet rebounded lower on solid offers at this level, even though the API data suggested that the US oil inventories dropped by 4.4 million barrels last week. The morose risk sentiment will likely keep the price of a barrel below its 200-day moving average, while there is not enough conviction among the oil bears to drag the price of a barrel below the $40 per barrel just yet.

Major Asian indices edged lower on Wednesday, apart from the Nikkei (+0.44%) and Topix (+1.33%) that benefited from a softer yen.

Activity in FTSE (-0.20%) and Euro Stoxx futures (-0.78%) hint at consolidation following strong gains recorded yesterday.

By Strategy Desk


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