Trader Daily Market Update

Trader Daily Market Update

6 January 2016, 09:34
Mohammed Abdulwadud Soubra
0
51
06 January 2016, Time of Writing: 09:00 am
Trader Daily Market Update
  
Major Calendar News
Time (GMT)NameCountryVol.Prev.        Cons.        Sentiment
09:30Services PMIGBPHigh55.955.6Neutral
13:15ADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeUSDHigh217K193KNegative
13:30Trade BalanceUSDHigh-43.9B-44.0BNeutral
13:30Trade BalanceCADHigh-2.8B-2.6BNeutral
14:45Final Services PMIUSDMed.53.755.1Neutral
15:00ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIUSDHigh55.956.0Positive
15:00Factory OrdersUSDMed.1.5%-0.2%Negative
15:30Crude Oil InventoriesCADMed.2.6M0.7MNegative
19:00FOMC Meeting MinutesUSDHigh--Bullish
00:30 (07/01)Building Approvals m/mAUDHigh3.9%-2.8%Neutral
00:30 (07/01)Trade BalanceAUDHigh-3.31B-2.98BNeutral
Vol.: Volatility; Prev.: Previous; Cons.: Consensus
Key Support/Resistance Levels
H4R2R1PivotS1S2
EURUSD1.08941.08211.07661.06931.0638
GBPUSD1.47651.47201.46781.46311.4591
USDJPY120.11119.59119.19118.69118.29
AUDUSD0.72510.72050.71670.71220.7086
USDCAD1.40891.40381.39671.39171.3846
Latest News

Price action this morning remained in risk-off mode as Asian markets remained under pressure following the release of Chinese services figures which came in under forecasts, however remained barely in expansionary territory. In addition, the PBOC continued to weaken the CNY, causing the reference rate to fall to its lowest level since April of 2011. This caused AUDUSD to plummet, temporarily falling below 0.71 which is also a two week low. Safe haven plays such as gold continued to rise for their third consecutive day, along with the Yen, as news releases claimed that North Korea successfully completed a test of a hydrogen nuclear bomb this morning. Meanwhile, yesterday’s dairy auction, which retreated back into deflationary territory at -1.6%, smashed NZDUSD below 0.665, which is a three week low.

Europe is scheduled to release service PMI figures today, which should continue to paint an optimistic future for the bloc’s recovery. Elsewhere, the UK will similarly publish services figures, which continue to remain solid. Today’s ADP employment report from the US will take centre stage, in anticipation to Friday’s main NFP data. The headline figure is projected to fall slightly from December’s 217K to 193K, though this would remain in-line with economists’ view that the US economy continues to create solid job gains. Lastly, this evening will see the FED release FOMC meeting minutes from December’s meeting, where the decision to raise interest rates was unanimous.

Daily Technical Analysis
 Summary:Trend:Momentum:Daily Target:Volatility (14D):
EURUSDNEUTRALSELLOVERSOLD1.0640 - 1.082594 Pips
GBPUSDNEUTRALSELLOVERSOLD1.4585 - 1.472594 Pips
USDJPYNEUTRALSELLOVERSOLD118.00 - 119.6086 Pips
AUDUSDNEUTRALSELLOVERSOLD0.7045 - 0.718577 Pips
USDCADNEUTRALBUYOVERBOUGHT1.3935 - 1.4100106 Pips
Provided by advanced methods of time-series analysis and custom build technical indicators. Detailed quantitative analysis of the market state on different time frames let us accurately evaluate current Trend and Momentum. Going further we deduce the daily target from the multiple factors such as long and short term momentum, different volatility measures, mode of market behaviour and other characteristics. For a ranged market we will show a range instead of a single number.
Daily Forecasts
 Spot Price*Last Update1 Day1 Week1 Month
EURUSD1.074906/01/20161.08001.071.06
GBPUSD1.466106/01/20161.47251.481.48
USDJPY118.7206/01/2016118.25120123
AUDUSD0.712506/01/20160.70800.710.70
USDCAD1.403206/01/20161.39651.401.40

*spot prices as of 07:00GMT

Daily Forecasts consists of both technical and fundamental analysis as well as a review of open sources from major FX contributors. The forecasts give investors a projection on individual currencies.

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