Just like in the Greek mythology, where Siren lures sailors to destruction with the sweetness of her song, Oil and her sweet promise of adrenaline rush sends many traders to their demise...
Not much is moving in markets today. Drivers have been on repeat for so long investors are suffering from boredom. FX volatility has declined significantly of the past week but GBP volatility remains least effected. Cleary the lower pace fall is due to critical political premiums still relevant...
The last FOMC meeting left undeniable after-effects on investors’ mind-set. The last two days of trading clearly shows that market participants don’t know where to stand. Equities rallied sharply yesterday afternoon with the S&P 500 climbing more than 1% to around 2,854, gold sliding 1...
Markets participants broadly expected the FOMC to be quite dovish. They were right. Back in December last year, it was considered reasonable to expect at least one rate hike in 2019...
There is a high probability that Prime Minster May will pass out due to g-force in the British politics. The UK is hurling towards Brexit with no steering or brakes, so can someone call Denzel Washington, please (see classi film "Unstoppable...
Despite the chaos unfolding in the UK, market volatility has eased ahead of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting. Perhaps the only assets showing real directional momentum are lean hog futures, which hit a new high...
Expectations for global inflation continue to decrease as deflationary pressure mount. This indicated that the Fed will unlikely be challenged by suspected inflation over 2% target. The ECB in reactions slashed its 2019 forecast for both economic growth and inflation...
The US dollar continued to lose ground against most of its peers as sentiment on risk remained roughly positive ahead of tomorrow FOMC meeting. The dollar index gave up another 0.14% Tuesday morning as it reached 96.39. The single currency appreciated to 1.1355 (+0...
Tomorrow Tuesday European Union ministers of European affairs will meet to discuss extending Brexit’s deadline beyond 29 March. Meanwhile, the UK government will for the third time try to pass its ‘deal’ through Parliament. If it passes, the government will ask for an extension to 30 June...
The Japanese economy continues to suffer from China’s economic slowdown and Sino-American trade tensions. So the Bank of Japan voted 7-2 to maintain its policy balance rate unchanged at -0...
Overall, it has been a relatively quiet week in the FX market, especially under the circumstances. Indeed, the lack of fresh news from the ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China has compelled investors to focus their attention on Brexit developments...
The Chinese economy continues to suffer under US tariffs and slower domestic demand, despite efforts by policy makers to provide economic stimulus. Factory output rose 5.3% annually but declined 0.4% from December. This is the weakest reading since 1995...
Currently trading at 0.85370, EUR/GBP is valued at a 22-month low, heading along 0.85510 short-term. Parliament is expected to start another Brexit vote at 17:00 GMT. The battle between to impose a negotiated Withdrawal Agreement continues...
More than two weeks after the USA extended deadlines, Chinese-American trade talks seem to be coming to an end. China is rightfully worried, because its growth target for 2019 has been reduced to 6-6.50% and might be reduced further; its budget deficit target of 2...
After a rough week, where the main event was Draghi’s dovish speech, the single currency has been trading on a firmer footing and erased partially losses. Since last Friday, EUR/USD rose more than 0.85%, from 1.1177 to 1.1276, as investors slowly digest the new outlook for interest rates...
Optimism takes over. Sterling is the big winner among G10 currencies as traders appear convinced that a breakthrough in Brexit talks is happening. EUR/GBP is trading at ranges not seen since May 2017 while the cable appreciated by 1.60% since the start of the week...
Despite notorious cryptocurrency hater Nouriel Roubini arguing the underlying technology of cryptocurrencies, blockchain, has “nothing to do with” the future of financial services, investment in the innovative tech is on the rise...
Despite poor payrolls data in the US and a drop in China’s auto sales, oil prices remain solid. US production is holding pace: current output of 12.1 million barrels per day could well rise to 13 million by year-end. We expect a spike in prices to be limited. Currently trading at 56...
Despite significant cost and hype, monetary policy has not driven growth and clearly driven asset bubbles. The relationship between markets and the real economy is loose at best, however, everyone is willing to overlook real weakness when stock prices are elevated...
