📊 XAUUSD Daily Breakout Analysis — 18 Sep 2026
Gold has rebounded from the latest sell-off toward $4,230, reclaiming $4,300. The captured price is $4,345.92, below the recent rebound high near $4,380. Recovery is developing within the broader pullback from the August peak; a confirmed breakout is not yet established.
Price: $4,345.92 | Timeframe: H4
Key Levels
🔴 Resistance: $4,565.00 - $4,630.00 — August consolidation shelf above the late-August breakdown.
🟡 Resistance: $4,424.00 - $4,456.00 — Repeated late-August and September congestion.
🟡 Resistance: $4,380.00 - $4,395.00 — Recent rebound highs and nearby prior congestion.
🟢 Support: $4,300.00 — A renewed close below this level would weaken the rebound.
🟢 Support: $4,250.00 - $4,280.00 — Multiple recent candle lows and consolidation.
🟢 Support: $4,230.00 — Approximate latest downside wick; a loss would extend the pullback.
Setup
Levels are rounded visual estimates from the captured MT5 chart. The rightmost H4 candle is still forming. Treat the rebound as provisional until an H4 candle closes above $4,395; intrabar moves alone do not confirm either scenario.
BREAKOUT / RECOVERY SCENARIO
Trigger: Confirmed H4 close above ($4,395.00)
Targets: $4,424.00 → $4,456.00
Invalidation: H4 close back below ($4,300.00)
BREAKDOWN SCENARIO
Trigger: Confirmed H4 close below ($4,300.00)
Targets: $4,250.00 → $4,230.00
Invalidation: H4 close back above ($4,395.00)
Technical analysis for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
