From Tokyo with Tech: Daily AI Scalping Signals for Profitable Trades (Tuesday, April 1, 2025)
📊Today Forex Outlook - Updated for "Tuesday, April 1, 2025"💹
Hello traders around the world, greetings from Tokyo—AI Trader KYO here.
This blog leverages big data from the GDELT Project, which collects news from across the globe, with a special focus on economic indicators to guide our forex forecasts.
Yesterday's session on March 31, 2025 produced mixed results. Our short on EUR/USD following Germany's Preliminary CPI delivered a modest gain, and the USD/CAD trade based on Canada's GDP performed well. However, the USD/JPY trade around the US Chicago PMI did not go as planned, resulting in a slight loss. Overall, these outcomes underscore the value of precise market timing and careful analysis. The cumulative performance remains robust, especially in the higher forecast accuracy tiers, reaffirming our data-driven approach.
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Trading Results – "Monday, March 31, 2025" Let's review the trading outcomes based on yesterday’s economic indicator releases along with the cumulative results by star rating for the day.
Trade Results by Indicator
- Germany Preliminary CPI – EUR/USD
• Actual: CPI = 1.7% (forecast: 2.0%)
• EUR/USD Movement: Approximately -15 pips decline
• Strategy: Short position confirmed as softer CPI led to euro weakness
• Result: Win – ★★★☆☆ (+15 pips) - Canada GDP – USD/CAD
• Actual: GDP growth = 2.5% (forecast: 2.2%)
• USD/CAD Movement: Approximately -10 pips decline
• Strategy: Short position effective as strong GDP bolstered CAD
• Result: Win – ★★★☆☆ (+10 pips) - US Chicago PMI – USD/JPY
• Actual: PMI = 40.5 (forecast: 39.0)
• USD/JPY Movement: Approximately +8 pips increase
• Strategy: Expected a sharp drop, but the milder miss led to an adverse move
• Result: Loss – ★★☆☆☆ (-8 pips) - US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index – EUR/USD & USD/JPY
• Actual: Index = 50.0 (neutral reading)
• Market Movement: EUR/USD approximately +3 pips, USD/JPY approximately +2 pips
• Strategy: No trade was taken due to limited impact
• Result: N/A – No trade executed - BoJ Tankan – USD/JPY
• Actual: Tankan = -4.0 (forecast: -3.5)
• USD/JPY Movement: Approximately +12 pips increase
• Strategy: Long position effective as the weaker reading bolstered USD against yen
• Result: Win – ★★☆☆☆ (+12 pips) - China Caixin Manufacturing PMI – AUD/USD
• Actual: PMI = 51.8 (forecast: 51.2)
• AUD/USD Movement: Approximately +18 pips increase
• Strategy: Long position confirmed by the exceeding forecast
• Result: Win – ★★☆☆☆ (+18 pips) - RBA Rate Decision – AUD/JPY
• Actual: Hawkish hold confirmed
• AUD/JPY Movement: Approximately +5 pips increase
• Strategy: Long position aligned with the hawkish stance
• Result: Win – ★★☆☆☆ (+5 pips) - UK Manufacturing PMI Final – GBP/USD
• Actual: PMI = 47.8 (forecast: 47.3)
• GBP/USD Movement: Approximately +7 pips increase
• Strategy: Long position confirmed by the upward revision
• Result: Win – ★☆☆☆☆ (+7 pips) - Eurozone CPI & Unemployment – EUR/USD
• Actual: CPI = 2.3% (forecast: 2.0%)
• EUR/USD Movement: Approximately +20 pips increase
• Strategy: Long position effective as the higher CPI boosted the euro
• Result: Win – ★★★★☆ (+20 pips)
Cumulative Trading Results (Monday, March 31, 2025)
| Forecast Accuracy | Wins/Losses | Win Rate | Total Pips |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0 wins / 0 losses | N/A | N/A |
| ★★★★☆ | 11 wins / 0 losses | 100% | +205 pips |
| ★★★☆☆ | 9 wins / 2 losses | 82% | +120 pips |
| ★★☆☆☆ | 5 wins / 3 losses | 63% | +12 pips |
| ★☆☆☆☆ | 1 wins / 0 losses | 100% | +7 pips |
Today Key Economic Indicators & Forecasts
| Today's Economic Indicators (Date/Time) | Target Currency Pairs (2 pairs) | Forecast & Strategy | Confidence (★ Rating) |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 1 (Tuesday) 9:30 AM ET Canada Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | USD/CAD | No direct trade recommended, overshadowed by larger US releases. If you anticipate a drastic drop below 50, consider shorting USD/CAD 30 mins before. | ★★☆☆☆ |
| April 1 (Tuesday) 9:45 AM ET US Final Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | USD/JPY | No immediate trade recommended, overshadowed by the 10:00 AM ISM report. Reaction is typically limited unless there’s a major revision. | ★★☆☆☆ |
| April 1 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM ET US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | USD/JPY | Consider a short (Sell USD/JPY) 30 mins before the release if you expect a sub-50 reading, potentially signaling USD weakness. | ★★★★☆ |
| April 1 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM ET US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | EUR/USD | Consider a long (Buy EUR/USD) 30 mins before the release if you anticipate a weaker-than-expected figure, driving a softer USD. | ★★★☆☆ |
| April 1 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM ET US JOLTS Job Openings (Feb) | USD/JPY | If you foresee a sharp drop (around 7.0M or below), consider shorting 30 mins before release, anticipating USD pressure. | ★★★☆☆ |
| April 1 (Tuesday) 10:00 AM ET US Construction Spending (Feb) | USD/JPY | No direct trade suggested; typically overshadowed by ISM and JOLTS. Only a big surprise might spark volatility. | ★★☆☆☆ |
| April 1 (Tuesday) 8:30 PM ET Australian Building Approvals (Feb) | AUD/USD | Consider a short (Sell AUD/USD) 30 mins before the release if you anticipate a significantly weaker reading, aiming to capture a potential dip. | ★★☆☆☆ |
Additional Notes
• The “Forecast & Strategy” column provides a simplified directional view (e.g., “Long (Buy)” or “Short (Sell)”) based on prior data and market consensus.
• The star rating is a rough indicator of potential market impact and does not guarantee price movement.
• Always consider spreads, volatility, and unexpected news events. Trade responsibly at your own risk.
If you have any requests or want to know more about cryptocurrency outlooks (or anything else), feel free to let me know in the comments!
Thank you for reading and good luck with your trades! 
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(Note: The figures and forecasts above are hypothetical; please consult the latest real data and forecasts from relevant institutions.)
Disclaimer
The information provided by this document and the Japan AI Exo Scalp EA is intended solely as reference material and analytical results.
All markets carry inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Please make your own investment decisions under thorough risk management and capital control.
