Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Sell at 1.3350

18 June 2017, 13:27
Tamas Molnar
0
37

USD/CAD- 1.3241

Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway for headway to 1.4700

Trend: Near term down

Original strategy :

Sell at 1.3350, Target: 1.3130, Stop: 1.3410

Position: -

Target: -

Stop: -

New strategy :

Sell at 1.3350, Target: 1.3130, Stop: 1.3410

Position: -

Target: -

Stop:-

The greenback found support at 1.3165 earlier this week and rebounded, retaining our view that consolidation above this level would be seen and recovery to 1.3330 cannot be ruled out, however, reckon 1.3360-65 would limit upside and bring another decline later, below 1.3220 would suggest the rebound from 1.3165 has ended, bring retest of this level but break there is needed to signal recent decline from 1.3794 has resumed for weakness towards 1.3100 and possibly towards previous support at 1.3078.

In view of this, would be prudent to sell again on subsequent recovery as 1.3350-60 should limit upside. Above previous support at 1.3387 (now resistance) would defer and suggest low is possibly formed, bring a stronger rebound to 1.3420-25 but break there is needed to provide confirmation.

To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.

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