FxWirePro: Kiwi on the Back-Foot, NZD/USD Slips Below 0.78 Handle, Good to Sell Rallies

FxWirePro: Kiwi on the Back-Foot, NZD/USD Slips Below 0.78 Handle, Good to Sell Rallies

18 May 2016, 08:45
Roberto Jacobs
0
5

FxWirePro: Kiwi on the Back-Foot, NZD/USD Slips Below 0.78 Handle, Good to Sell Rallies

  • NZD/USD had gained some traction overnight in the US session on the back of the GDT auction, but US dollar picked-up significant strength across the board on upbeat US CPI figures. 
  • Kiwi bulls brush aside NZ dairy prices which showed some gradual improvement with the GDT-TWI up 2.6% and whole milk powder (WMP) rising 3%. 
  • Poor NZ PPI datasets also weighed down on the Kiwi. NZ PPI fell 1.0% in Q1, against expected 0.3% rise. The Output PPI fell 0.2% in the same period, following a decline of 0.8% in the previous quarter. 
  • NZD/USD slips below 0.78 handle, is currently trading around 0.6793 levels. 
  • The pair finds strong support at 0.6760,breaks below will see test of 0.6707 (cloud base). 
  • The pair has broken minor trendline support at 0.6798 and technical indicators support downside. 
  • Resistance is located at 0.6800, above which it could extend gains to 0.6848 (double top May 5th and 12th).  
  • To the downside immediate support might be located at 0. 6760 (Trendline) and from there to at 0.6707 (cloud base). 
  • Markets now await the FOMC minutes due later today for further cues on the major. In the meantime, the major will continue to track the broader market sentiment.

Recommendation: Sell rallies around 0.68 levels, SL: 0.6850, TP: 0.6760/0.67 

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