GBPUSD
The graceful upward trajectory staged by the GBP/USD on the daily chart, finds an offsetting bearish harami, a pattern comparable to an Western inside bar.
Prices challenged the 21-period 2-standard deviation upper band by printing outside of its boundaries in the last two days. The bearish pattern also happens in the context of a 14,3,3-sensitive stochastic tracking above the 80 mark. Although this oscillator assumes that prices tend to close near their high in an upwardly trending market, it should now react with any eventual daily close near the lows.
Traders might seach for this price confirmation as well as an invalidation of the pattern in the form of a new daily high.
USDCAD
A well bid USD/CAD elevates the ADX above its 50 level, signal of a highly
constructive trend on 1hr charts.
What makes the higher settlement in the
ADX rare -although not unprecedented- is the fact that it was printing below 35
ten hours ago.
Such an outperformance encourages momentum traders to pile
in, and adjust positions by means of trailing stops. This may have the opposite
effect of a corrective slide, driving the prices towards the 200-hour SMA to
find less impulsive buyers.
US Position
US stocks ended mixed on Friday following the release of better than
expected US
nonfarm payrolls.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 46
points, or 0.26%, to 17,910. The S&P 500 index closed 0.03% lower at 2,099.
The Nasdaq Composite ended up 19 points, or 0.38%, at 5,147.
Data showed
US economy added 271,000 new jobs in October versus 180,000 expected and up from
237,000 the previous month, according to the nonfarm payrolls report. Meanwhile,
the unemployment rate dropped to 5.0% versus 5.1% expected.
The dollar strengthened across the board as a much stronger than expected US jobs report lifted expectations of a Fed rate hike in December after Yellen said earlier this week the decision would still depend on incoming data.
EURUSD
Like two weeks ago, EUR/USD
dropped sharply in the market falling more than 250 pips. A strong US dollar
pushed the pair sharply to the downside.
The pair finished the week
trading around 1.0735/55, after finding support at 1.0700, down 2.30% from the
level it had seven days ago as it continues the decline that started after
approaching 1.1500 three weeks ago. It posted the lowest weekly close since
April 22.
EUR/USD: Another hit from the
NFP
Today’s US jobs numbers pushed the pair sharply to the
downside, but even before the report the euro was already falling against the US
dollar and moving with a bearish bias.
“The pair seems to have set the
tone for the rest of the year, or at least, until the December FED's meeting, as
all of the ongoing dollar's strength is based on speculation that the US Central
Bank will raise its rates then”, said Valeria
Bednarik, Chief analysts at FXStreet.
From a technical perspective, the trend remains bearish. Bednarik noted that advances up to the 1.0840 region, the base of these last months' range, will be seen as selling opportunities. “Given the extreme oversold readings present also in the shorter term, the pair can extend above this region, and rally up to 1.0960, where another bout of selling waits, and still unable to harm, the dominant bearish trend”, she concluded.
XAU
Gold faced a strong sell-off on Friday and scored a fresh 3-month low sub $1,100
an ounce, with the metal poised to post its eight daily loss in a row and its
third weekly decline.
The dollar strengthened across the board, dragging
oil prices to a 3-month low, as a much stronger than expected US jobs report
lifted expectations of a Fed rate hike in December after Yellen said earlier
this week the decision would still depend on incoming data.
US economy
added 271,000 new jobs in October versus 180,000 expected and up from 237,000
the previous month, according to the nonfarm payrolls report. Meanwhile, the
unemployment rate dropped to 5.0% versus 5.1% expected.
Gold scored a low of $1,085 an ounce and it was last trading around $1,090 an ounce, recording a 1.18% daily loss.