📊 FX Options Overview — May 1, 2026

📊 FX Options Overview — May 1, 2026

1 5月 2026, 11:30
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 FX Options Overview — May 1, 2026

■ Spot Overview

  • EUR/USD: 1.1723
  • USD/JPY: 157.25
  • GBP/USD: 1.3590
  • AUD/USD: 0.7191

👉 Overall:
Post-volatility stabilization → transition into range structure


■ Friday (May 1) — Options Structure

■ EUR/USD

  • 1.1650 (960M) ★ center
  • 1.1640 / 1.1645
  • 1.1750 (780M)
  • 1.1800 / 1.1850 / 1.1900

👉 Spot: 1.1723

✔ Broad distribution above and below
✔ Center of gravity: 1.1650

👉 Classic range structure


■ USD/CAD

  • 1.3600 (780M) ★
  • 1.3660 (770M)
  • 1.3545 / 1.3525

👉 1.3600 as central magnet

👉 Mean-reversion environment


■ AUD/USD

  • 0.7020 (880M)
  • 0.7250 (710M)

👉 Magnets on both sides

👉 Expected range:
0.71 – 0.72 zone


■ Monday (May 4) — Structural Shift

■ EUR/USD

  • 1.1750 (610M)
  • 1.1900 (810M)

👉 Shift toward upside bias

✔ Short-term magnet: 1.1750


■ AUD/USD

  • 0.7065 (1.4B) ★ strongest
  • 0.7150 / 0.7200 / 0.7250

👉 Very strong downside magnet at 0.7065

👉 Clear pull lower


■ Overall Market Structure

✔ EUR/USD
→ Centered at 1.1650 → gradually shifting higher

✔ USD/CAD
1.3600 pin structure

✔ AUD/USD
→ Strong pull toward 0.7065


■ Trading Strategy

✔ EUR/USD

  • Short-term:
    👉 Reversion toward 1.1650
  • Monday onward:
    👉 Buy dips bias

✔ USD/CAD

👉 Focus on mean reversion around 1.3600


✔ AUD/USD

👉 Short below 0.71

  • Target: 0.7065
  • Strong option magnet = high probability zone

■ Key Insight

This setup clearly reflects:

👉 “Friday = Range → Monday = Direction emerges”

🎯 Focus Markets

  • AUD/USD → strong magnet (high conviction setup)
  • EUR/USD → gradual upside shift

■ Final Take

👉 This is a transition phase market

  • End of week → range-bound
  • Start of next week → directional move

Most important:

👉 Do not overtrade Friday ranges

👉 Instead:

Position for Monday’s directional expansion