📊 Technical Analysis — March 20, 2026
■ Market Condition👉 Risk-off trend continues, but a short-term rebound is underway
🔥 Situation Summary
-
Equities: Still broken on the daily timeframe
-
USD: Strength maintained
-
JPY: Temporarily weakening → yen crosses rebounding
-
Oil: Continuing higher
-
Gold: Weak (in a rebound phase)
-
BTC: Continued breakdown
🧠 Macro Structure
💱 FX Core View
✔ EUR/USD
-
Short-term: Strong Buy
-
Daily: Strong Sell
👉 Sell-the-rally market (very important)
✔ GBP/USD
👉 Same structure: Sell rallies
✔ USD/JPY
-
Short-term: Buy
-
Medium-term: Unstable
👉 Lack of clear direction (correction phase)
💴 Yen Crosses (Key Focus)
👉 The key theme right now
| Pair | Status |
|---|---|
| AUD/JPY | 🔥 Strong Buy |
| CAD/JPY | Strong Buy |
| NZD/JPY | Rising |
| EUR/JPY | Neutral |
➡ Short-term risk-on rebound
🛢 Oil
-
All timeframes: Strong Buy
👉 Only consistent trend in the market
🥇 Precious Metals
| Asset | Status |
|---|---|
| GOLD | Rebounding (weak) |
| SILVER | Strong Sell |
👉 Sell bias remains dominant
🪙 BTC
👉 Sell across all timeframes
➡ Continued weakness in risk assets
📉 Equities
-
Daily: Strong Sell
-
Short-term: Rebounding
👉 Sell-the-rally phase
🌍 Currency Strength
Strong
1️⃣ USD
2️⃣ CAD
3️⃣ AUD
Weak
1️⃣ NZD
2️⃣ EUR
3️⃣ GBP
📊 Best Short Opportunities
1️⃣ SILVER (XAG/USD) 🔥 strongest trend
2️⃣ BTC/USD
3️⃣ EUR/USD (sell rallies)
4️⃣ GBP/USD (sell rallies)
5️⃣ Equity indices (sell rallies)
📈 Best Long Opportunities
1️⃣ Crude Oil (WTI) 🔥 strongest
2️⃣ AUD/JPY
3️⃣ CAD/JPY
4️⃣ NZD/JPY (short-term)
5️⃣ USD/JPY (short-term)
🎯 Trading Strategy (Important)
✔ Main Strategy
👉 Long Oil (Top Priority)
✔ Secondary
👉 Short-term longs in yen crosses
✔ Primary Setup
👉 Wait to sell rallies in dollar pairs
⚠️ Most Important Insight
👉 This is a “rebound market”
Which means:
-
Buying just because price is rising → ❌ Dangerous
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Selling after rallies → ✅ Aligned with the main trend
📌 One-Line Summary
👉 “Primary trend is risk-off — current move is a rebound.”


