📊 Technical Analysis — March 20, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis — March 20, 2026

20 3月 2026, 13:45
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis — March 20, 2026

■ Market Condition

👉 Risk-off trend continues, but a short-term rebound is underway


🔥 Situation Summary
  • Equities: Still broken on the daily timeframe

  • USD: Strength maintained

  • JPY: Temporarily weakening → yen crosses rebounding

  • Oil: Continuing higher

  • Gold: Weak (in a rebound phase)

  • BTC: Continued breakdown


🧠 Macro Structure

Primary trend: Risk-Off Short-term: Rebound (risk-on-like) Yen crosses rising


💱 FX Core View

✔ EUR/USD

  • Short-term: Strong Buy

  • Daily: Strong Sell

👉 Sell-the-rally market (very important)


✔ GBP/USD

👉 Same structure: Sell rallies


✔ USD/JPY

  • Short-term: Buy

  • Medium-term: Unstable

👉 Lack of clear direction (correction phase)


💴 Yen Crosses (Key Focus)

👉 The key theme right now

Pair Status
AUD/JPY 🔥 Strong Buy
CAD/JPY Strong Buy
NZD/JPY Rising
EUR/JPY Neutral

Short-term risk-on rebound


🛢 Oil
  • All timeframes: Strong Buy

👉 Only consistent trend in the market


🥇 Precious Metals
Asset Status
GOLD Rebounding (weak)
SILVER Strong Sell

👉 Sell bias remains dominant


🪙 BTC

👉 Sell across all timeframes

Continued weakness in risk assets


📉 Equities
  • Daily: Strong Sell

  • Short-term: Rebounding

👉 Sell-the-rally phase


🌍 Currency Strength

Strong

1️⃣ USD
2️⃣ CAD
3️⃣ AUD

Weak

1️⃣ NZD
2️⃣ EUR
3️⃣ GBP


📊 Best Short Opportunities

1️⃣ SILVER (XAG/USD) 🔥 strongest trend
2️⃣ BTC/USD
3️⃣ EUR/USD (sell rallies)
4️⃣ GBP/USD (sell rallies)
5️⃣ Equity indices (sell rallies)


📈 Best Long Opportunities

1️⃣ Crude Oil (WTI) 🔥 strongest
2️⃣ AUD/JPY
3️⃣ CAD/JPY
4️⃣ NZD/JPY (short-term)
5️⃣ USD/JPY (short-term)


🎯 Trading Strategy (Important)

✔ Main Strategy

👉 Long Oil (Top Priority)


✔ Secondary

👉 Short-term longs in yen crosses


✔ Primary Setup

👉 Wait to sell rallies in dollar pairs


⚠️ Most Important Insight

👉 This is a “rebound market”

Which means:

  • Buying just because price is rising → ❌ Dangerous

  • Selling after rallies → ✅ Aligned with the main trend


📌 One-Line Summary

👉 “Primary trend is risk-off — current move is a rebound.”