📊 Technical Analysis — February 10, 2026

📊 Technical Analysis — February 10, 2026

10 2月 2026, 12:20
Masayuki Sakamoto
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📊 Technical Analysis — February 10, 2026

Conclusion

“The dollar downtrend remains intact. Short-term dollar rebounds are mixed in, but higher timeframes still favor euro and gold. Cross-yen pairs are undergoing a deeper pullback, while BTC continues to see capital outflows.”


💱 Dollar Majors: Short-Term Adjustment, Daily Trend Intact

EUR/USD (1.1903)

  • Short term (5–15 min): Strong sell

  • Hourly: Neutral

  • Daily: Strong buy

👉 This is a healthy profit-taking correction near highs.
The structure remains intact; waiting for daily-chart pullbacks is the correct approach.


GBP/USD

  • Short term to hourly: Strong sell

  • Daily: Strong buy

👉 Similar to EUR/USD—a pullback within an uptrend.
However, price action is more volatile, making it lower priority than the euro.


AUD/USD

  • 15-minute & daily: Strong buy

  • Hourly: Neutral

👉 The correction has been shallow, leaving the pair well-positioned for another leg higher.
Still one of the stronger commodity currencies.


Ongoing Dollar-Selling Zone

  • USD/CAD

  • USD/CHF

  • USD/NZD

👉 Even if short-term rebounds occur, daily charts remain clearly bearish.


💴 USD/JPY: Rallies Still Favored to Be Sold

  • Short term: Neutral to sell

  • Hourly & daily: Sell

👉 The 155 area represents a rebound zone, not a base.
The decline is driven more by dollar weakness than by yen strength.


🔁 Cross-Yen: Pullback Continues, Structure Unbroken

EUR/JPY / GBP/JPY / AUD/JPY / CAD/JPY / CHF/JPY / NZD/JPY

  • Short term to hourly: Strong sell

  • Daily: Buy / Strong buy

👉 This is a classic deep pullback within an ongoing trend.
As long as daily structures hold, buying dips remains the only strategy.


🥇 Gold — XAU/USD (5,056)

  • Strong buy across all timeframes

👉 Even as FX churns sideways, gold stands in a different league
a clear trend asset and capital haven.


🧊 BTC/USD (68,531)

  • Strong sell across all timeframes

👉 No signs of a short-term rebound.
Capital is clearly flowing out of BTC and into FX and gold.


🎯 Practical Trade Focus

🟢 Priority Longs

  • XAU/USD

  • EUR/USD (daily pullbacks)

  • AUD/USD

🟡 Watch for Pullbacks

  • EUR/JPY

  • AUD/JPY

  • CHF/JPY

  • CAD/JPY

  • NZD/JPY

🔴 Sell-on-Rallies Only

  • USD/CAD

  • USD/CHF

  • USD/NZD

  • BTC/USD


📝 Market Core — One Takeaway

“Short-term dollar rebounds, long-term dollar weakness.
Gold and the euro are the main actors; cross-yen is a test of patience.
BTC has completely fallen outside the liquidity flow.”

This is a market where short-term noise punishes impatience.
The key is choosing where to engage based on daily charts, not reacting to every intraday swing.